TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071578
Played Sep 4Finished
Ondrej Kucirek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117115––––
Martin Stefek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Stefek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOndrej Kucirek above · Martin Stefek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 52 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Martin Stefek at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kucirek 6–5 Martin Stefek Martin Stefek has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:57What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Stefek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kucirek 1429 vs Stefek 1448
Stefek
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kucirek 60% vs Stefek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kucirek 60% vs Stefek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kucirek +1 · Stefek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stefek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKucirek 1.83 / Stefek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Stefek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071578
Kucirek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Stefek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKucirek5wins
AwayStefek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKucirek100%3 of 3
AwayStefek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kucirek3Stefek7n = 10Stefek took 7 of 10
S2Kucirek6Stefek4n = 10Kucirek took 6 of 10
S3Kucirek4Stefek6n = 10Stefek took 6 of 10
S4Kucirek4Stefek3n = 7Kucirek took 4 of 7
S5Kucirek2Stefek1n = 3Kucirek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKucirekStefekK − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.736.1+2.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKucirekStefekBasisWin rate · lifetime218 / 439 vs 571 / 118549.7%48.2%218 / 439 vs 571 / 1185Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StefekKucirek 1.83/Stefek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Stefek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kucirek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 23:30O. Kucirek—1111113M. Stefek—7750
LAug 6 · 23:30O. Kucirek—10116111M. Stefek—12811133
WJun 9 · 01:00O. Kucirek—1171111113M. Stefek—71113492
WMay 27 · 23:30O. Kucirek—91211113M. Stefek—1110541
LMay 26 · 01:30O. Kucirek—71111442M. Stefek—115311113
LMay 20 · 23:00O. Kucirek—10790M. Stefek—1211113
WMay 5 · 03:30O. Kucirek—111110113M. Stefek—291251
LMay 4 · 23:30O. Kucirek—1311591M. Stefek—15911113
WMay 1 · 24:30O. Kucirek—1171111113M. Stefek—13114652
LApr 22 · 23:30O. Kucirek—71280M. Stefek—1114113
O. Kucirek10
WSep 5 · 03:28O. Kucirek1.361111113R. Urban3.009240WSep 5 · 02:30V. Dolezal1.731291171O. Kucirek2.0014113113WSep 5 · 01:00A. Svoboda1.83410100O. Kucirek1.831112123WSep 4 · 22:00O. Kucirek1.331211511113R. Urban3.2514711352LSep 2 · 21:28M. Fisera1.73119118113O. Kucirek2.0081171182WSep 2 · 20:30V. Dolezal1.7311125752O. Kucirek2.006101111113WSep 2 · 19:30O. Kucirek2.2513111011113R. Bartunek1.5715912782LSep 2 · 18:30M. Fisera1.831111129113O. Kucirek1.8374141112WSep 1 · 02:59T. Regner2.257230O. Kucirek1.571111113LSep 1 · 02:00J. Didi1.8311511113O. Kucirek1.83611661
M. Stefek10
LSep 7 · 08:00M. Stefek1.67141011472T. Andrle2.101212911113LSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:30J. Novotny1.5091111113M. Stefek2.50118721LSep 6 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83119771A. Svoboda1.8341111113LSep 6 · 14:30F. Briza1.33111411113M. Stefek3.25216781LSep 6 · 13:00J. Briska2.2031111113M. Stefek1.61119951LSep 6 · 12:00M. Stefek2.258670J. Briska1.571111113LSep 6 · 11:30L. Sulava1.91121168113M. Stefek1.80104111172
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