TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13083458
Played Sep 6Finished
Martin Stefek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
114911711711––
Adam Svoboda
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:29 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeMartin Stefek to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMartin Stefek above · Adam Svoboda below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 71 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Martin Stefek at 54.1%
71 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stefek 9–6 Adam Svoboda Adam Svoboda has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:29What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Svoboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-6 in 15
Stefek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stefek 1358 vs Svoboda 1490
Svoboda
Correct
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stefek 0% vs Svoboda 60%
Svoboda
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stefek 10% vs Svoboda 70%
Svoboda
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stefek -5 · Svoboda -1
Stefek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svoboda) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stefek form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefek 1.83 / Svoboda 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Svoboda)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13083458
Stefek1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Svoboda1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStefek5wins
AwaySvoboda5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStefek66.7%4 of 6
AwaySvoboda75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stefek6Svoboda4n = 10Stefek took 6 of 10
S2Stefek7Svoboda3n = 10Stefek took 7 of 10
S3Stefek6Svoboda4n = 10Stefek took 6 of 10
S4Stefek3Svoboda5n = 8Svoboda took 5 of 8
S5Stefek2Svoboda4n = 6Svoboda took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStefekSvobodaStefek − SvobodaBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.940.6+2.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefekSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime570 / 1191 vs 135 / 27047.9%50%570 / 1191 vs 135 / 270Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaStefek 1.83/Svoboda 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 21:29M. Stefek—117741A. Svoboda—91111113
LSep 4 · 19:00M. Stefek—85161152A. Svoboda—1111149113
WAug 24 · 12:00M. Stefek—111149133A. Svoboda—681111112
LAug 23 · 11:30M. Stefek—114128102A. Svoboda—5111011123
LAug 23 · 08:00M. Stefek—101111882A. Svoboda—124711113
WAug 22 · 15:00M. Stefek—1111113A. Svoboda—8850
WAug 18 · 22:00M. Stefek—111411113A. Svoboda—7121311
LAug 18 · 13:00M. Stefek—51111992A. Svoboda—115511113
WAug 18 · 11:30M. Stefek—1411612133A. Svoboda—1611110112
WAug 16 · 23:00M. Stefek—1111113A. Svoboda—8760
M. Stefek10
WSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:30J. Novotny1.5091111113M. Stefek2.50118721LSep 6 · 14:30F. Briza1.33111411113M. Stefek3.25216781LSep 6 · 13:00J. Briska2.2031111113M. Stefek1.61119951LSep 6 · 12:00M. Stefek2.258670J. Briska1.571111113LSep 6 · 11:30L. Sulava1.91121168113M. Stefek1.80104111172LSep 6 · 10:00M. Stefek1.446670M. Barta2.631111113LSep 5 · 01:30M. Stefek2.00115681V. Dolezal1.7391111113LSep 5 · 24:30R. Urban1.80111112113M. Stefek1.91951471
A. Svoboda10
WSep 7 · 03:28A. Svoboda1.531112113R. Hasmanda2.3821090WSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.731312113R. Hasmanda2.00111030WSep 7 · 01:30M. Novak2.00137111192A. Svoboda1.73151196113WSep 7 · 24:00A. Svoboda2.001111123P. Bruzek1.7368100WSep 6 · 23:00L. Sulava2.636450A. Svoboda1.441111113WSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113LSep 6 · 14:00A. Svoboda1.8391111662J. Novotny1.83117611113WSep 5 · 02:58A. Svoboda1.61711511113V. Dolezal2.2011611862WSep 5 · 02:00A. Svoboda1.3611711113R. Urban3.00511711
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