TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13083448
Played Sep 7Finished
Adam Svoboda
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161181210––––
Petr Bruzek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:19 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timePetr Bruzek to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingAdam Svoboda above · Petr Bruzek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 58 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Petr Bruzek at 54.9%
58 points played in total.
H2H Adam Svoboda 0–3 Petr Bruzek Adam Svoboda has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:19What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Bruzek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Bruzek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svoboda 1510 vs Bruzek 1320
Svoboda
Correct
both rated, 190 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svoboda 60% vs Bruzek 0%
Svoboda
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svoboda 60% vs Bruzek 20%
Svoboda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svoboda +2 · Bruzek -5
Bruzek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svoboda) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bruzek form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 2.00 / Bruzek 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Svoboda)+7.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13083448
Svoboda2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 35 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back18% 10 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 32
Bruzek1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 45 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it79% 34 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSvoboda0wins
AwayBruzek3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderBruzek leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svoboda2Bruzek1n = 3Svoboda took 2 of 3
S2Svoboda1Bruzek2n = 3Bruzek took 2 of 3
S3Svoboda0Bruzek3n = 3Bruzek took 3 of 3
S4Svoboda1Bruzek2n = 3Bruzek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSvobodaBruzekS − BBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match33.743.0−9.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaBruzekBasisWin rate · lifetime138 / 274 vs 177 / 38150.4%46.5%138 / 274 vs 177 / 381Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.535.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BruzekSvoboda 2.00/Bruzek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 19 · 24:30A. Svoboda—117291P. Bruzek—41111113
LAug 17 · 24:00A. Svoboda—11591182P. Bruzek—811118113
LNov 27 · 02:30A. Svoboda—512291P. Bruzek—111011113
A. Svoboda10
WSep 7 · 03:28A. Svoboda1.531112113R. Hasmanda2.3821090WSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.731312113R. Hasmanda2.00111030WSep 7 · 01:30M. Novak2.00137111192A. Svoboda1.73151196113WSep 6 · 23:00L. Sulava2.636450A. Svoboda1.441111113WSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113WSep 6 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83119771A. Svoboda1.8341111113LSep 6 · 14:00A. Svoboda1.8391111662J. Novotny1.83117611113WSep 5 · 02:58A. Svoboda1.61711511113V. Dolezal2.2011611862WSep 5 · 02:00A. Svoboda1.3611711113R. Urban3.00511711
P. Bruzek10
LSep 7 · 02:00P. Bruzek1.9198111252L. Sulava1.801111610113LSep 7 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.108311111R. Hasmanda1.6711119133LSep 6 · 22:30M. Novak1.571111113P. Bruzek2.256630LSep 3 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.251111141152R. Hasmanda1.577131213113LSep 3 · 01:00P. Bruzek1.6161151122J. Didi2.20119115113LSep 3 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj1.441311113P. Bruzek2.6311580LSep 2 · 22:30V. Dolezal1.441111113P. Bruzek2.634880LAug 31 · 03:00V. Dolezal1.501111113P. Bruzek2.407680WAug 31 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.751110117113R. Hasmanda1.4091251122LAug 31 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.2096110V. Dolezal1.611111133
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