TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082732
Played Sep 6Finished
Lubor Sulava
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611411511––––
Adam Svoboda
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:19 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeAdam Svoboda to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLubor Sulava above · Adam Svoboda below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 48 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Adam Svoboda at 66.5%
48 points played in total.
H2H Lubor Sulava 1–5 Adam Svoboda Lubor Sulava has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:19What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Svoboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-5 in 6
Svoboda
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulava 1440 vs Svoboda 1498
Svoboda
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulava 40% vs Svoboda 60%
Svoboda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulava 60% vs Svoboda 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulava -2 · Svoboda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Svoboda)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulava 2.63 / Svoboda 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Svoboda)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082732
Sulava2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 59 of 186
Down 0–1, comes back16% 18 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 58
Svoboda1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 50 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it89% 32 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSulava1wins
AwaySvoboda5wins
1 of 6 to a deciderSvoboda leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulava25%1 of 4
AwaySvobodan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulava4Svoboda2n = 6Sulava took 4 of 6
S2Sulava1Svoboda5n = 6Svoboda took 5 of 6
S3Sulava1Svoboda5n = 6Svoboda took 5 of 6
S4Sulava1Svoboda2n = 3Svoboda took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricSulavaSvobodaSulava − SvobodaBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match30.335.5−5.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulavaSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime482 / 971 vs 137 / 27349.6%50.2%482 / 971 vs 137 / 273Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaSulava 2.63/Svoboda 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 24 · 06:30L. Sulava—5980A. Svoboda—1111113
LDec 20 · 04:30L. Sulava—5460A. Svoboda—1111113
LDec 19 · 23:00L. Sulava—11411101A. Svoboda—81113123
LDec 14 · 03:30L. Sulava—11791182A. Svoboda—611118113
LOct 9 · 03:30L. Sulava—118651A. Svoboda—31111113
WOct 9 · 24:00L. Sulava—1111113A. Svoboda—9470
L. Sulava10
WSep 7 · 02:58L. Sulava2.1011811113M. Novak1.67511961WSep 7 · 02:00P. Bruzek1.9198111252L. Sulava1.801111610113WSep 7 · 24:30L. Sulava2.2014616113M. Novak1.6112111471LSep 6 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.441211113L. Sulava2.6310580LSep 6 · 13:30M. Barta1.75911911113L. Sulava1.9511711952WSep 6 · 12:30M. Barta1.9177111172L. Sulava1.80111165113WSep 6 · 11:30L. Sulava1.91121168113M. Stefek1.80104111172LSep 6 · 10:30J. Briska1.73971311113L. Sulava2.00111111342LAug 31 · 17:30L. Sulava1.73411111162M. Barta2.00118813113WAug 31 · 16:30M. Syroha2.501091351L. Sulava1.50121111113
A. Svoboda10
WSep 7 · 03:28A. Svoboda1.531112113R. Hasmanda2.3821090WSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.731312113R. Hasmanda2.00111030WSep 7 · 01:30M. Novak2.00137111192A. Svoboda1.73151196113WSep 7 · 24:00A. Svoboda2.001111123P. Bruzek1.7368100WSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113WSep 6 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83119771A. Svoboda1.8341111113LSep 6 · 14:00A. Svoboda1.8391111662J. Novotny1.83117611113WSep 5 · 02:58A. Svoboda1.61711511113V. Dolezal2.2011611862WSep 5 · 02:00A. Svoboda1.3611711113R. Urban3.00511711
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