TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13083530
Played Sep 7Finished
Adam Svoboda
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
13111210113––––
Rotislav Hasmanda
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:39 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeAdam Svoboda to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Svoboda above · Rotislav Hasmanda below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 60 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Adam Svoboda at 54.9%
60 points played in total.
H2H Adam Svoboda 4–2 Rotislav Hasmanda Rotislav Hasmanda has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:39What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Svoboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Svoboda
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svoboda 1527 vs Hasmanda 1453
Svoboda
Correct
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svoboda 80% vs Hasmanda 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svoboda 70% vs Hasmanda 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svoboda +4 · Hasmanda +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Svoboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hasmanda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 1.73 / Hasmanda 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Svoboda)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13083530
Svoboda1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 50 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it89% 32 of 36
Hasmanda2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 68 of 174
Down 0–1, comes back20% 18 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSvoboda4wins
AwayHasmanda2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderSvoboda leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvoboda100%4 of 4
AwayHasmandan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svoboda4Hasmanda2n = 6Svoboda took 4 of 6
S2Svoboda4Hasmanda2n = 6Svoboda took 4 of 6
S3Svoboda2Hasmanda4n = 6Hasmanda took 4 of 6
S4Svoboda3Hasmanda1n = 4Svoboda took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricSvobodaHasmandaS − HBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match38.235.5+2.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaHasmandaBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 276 vs 390 / 78650.7%49.6%140 / 276 vs 390 / 786Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaSvoboda 1.73/Hasmanda 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 2 · 13:28A. Svoboda—1111410113R. Hasmanda—49111292
WSep 2 · 12:00A. Svoboda—12811113R. Hasmanda—1011841
LAug 24 · 11:00A. Svoboda—61171192R. Hasmanda—119118113
LAug 22 · 14:30A. Svoboda—81030R. Hasmanda—111253
WDec 30 · 24:00A. Svoboda—11118113R. Hasmanda—771161
WDec 20 · 24:00A. Svoboda—1111123R. Hasmanda—79100
A. Svoboda10
WSep 7 · 03:28A. Svoboda1.531112113R. Hasmanda2.3821090WSep 7 · 01:30M. Novak2.00137111192A. Svoboda1.73151196113WSep 7 · 24:00A. Svoboda2.001111123P. Bruzek1.7368100WSep 6 · 23:00L. Sulava2.636450A. Svoboda1.441111113WSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113WSep 6 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83119771A. Svoboda1.8341111113LSep 6 · 14:00A. Svoboda1.8391111662J. Novotny1.83117611113WSep 5 · 02:58A. Svoboda1.61711511113V. Dolezal2.2011611862WSep 5 · 02:00A. Svoboda1.3611711113R. Urban3.00511711
R. Hasmanda10
LSep 7 · 03:28A. Svoboda1.531112113R. Hasmanda2.3821090WSep 7 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.108311111R. Hasmanda1.6711119133WSep 6 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.8311811113M. Novak1.83411661WSep 6 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.441211113L. Sulava2.6310580LSep 3 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.5011118113R. Hasmanda2.50851161WSep 3 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.251111141152R. Hasmanda1.577131213113LSep 3 · 24:30R. Hasmanda1.5311810121V. Dolezal2.3861112143WSep 2 · 23:00R. Hasmanda2.6381111113O. Vitrovyj1.44117781WSep 2 · 22:00J. Didi2.5081161342R. Hasmanda1.501181111113LSep 2 · 13:28A. Svoboda1.801111410113R. Hasmanda1.9149111292
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.