TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13060086
Played Sep 3Finished
Rotislav Hasmanda
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11681110121214––
Vaclav Dolezal
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:53 and never touched — 60.2% is still 60.2%
Graded at full timeRotislav Hasmanda to win
60.2%
60.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRotislav Hasmanda above · Vaclav Dolezal below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 84 set 4, 12-14 — our read held Rotislav Hasmanda at 60.2%
84 points played in total.
H2H Rotislav Hasmanda 33–16 Vaclav Dolezal Vaclav Dolezal has won 16 of their 49 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:53What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Hasmanda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-16 in 49
Hasmanda
Wrong
gap of 17 in 49, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hasmanda 1427 vs Dolezal 1486
Dolezal
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hasmanda 60% vs Dolezal 20%
Hasmanda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hasmanda 50% vs Dolezal 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hasmanda +2 · Dolezal -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Hasmanda) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHasmanda 1.53 / Dolezal 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Hasmanda)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13060086
Hasmanda1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 113 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it90% 62 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it78% 87 of 112
Dolezal2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 47 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back23% 17 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back13% 6 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHasmanda7wins
AwayDolezal3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHasmanda leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHasmanda80%4 of 5
AwayDolezal40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hasmanda5Dolezal5n = 10split evenly
S2Hasmanda6Dolezal4n = 10Hasmanda took 6 of 10
S3Hasmanda7Dolezal3n = 10Hasmanda took 7 of 10
S4Hasmanda4Dolezal2n = 6Hasmanda took 4 of 6
S5Hasmanda2Dolezal1n = 3Hasmanda took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHasmandaDolezalH − DBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.833.3+6.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHasmandaDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime394 / 794 vs 367 / 74449.6%49.3%394 / 794 vs 367 / 744Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HasmandaHasmanda 1.53/Dolezal 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.4%
Hasmanda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dolezal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 24:30R. Hasmanda—11810121V. Dolezal—61112143
WAug 30 · 22:00R. Hasmanda—91111113V. Dolezal—119731
WAug 28 · 24:30R. Hasmanda—1181111113V. Dolezal—81113732
WJul 7 · 08:58R. Hasmanda—711119113V. Dolezal—11681142
WJul 7 · 08:30R. Hasmanda—81111113V. Dolezal—115491
LJun 8 · 13:30R. Hasmanda—88100V. Dolezal—1111123
WJun 8 · 12:30R. Hasmanda—1111113V. Dolezal—9970
WJun 4 · 01:30R. Hasmanda—1111113V. Dolezal—6780
LMay 26 · 01:00R. Hasmanda—117111182V. Dolezal—131166113
WMay 18 · 20:30R. Hasmanda—1111113V. Dolezal—8590
R. Hasmanda10
LSep 7 · 03:28A. Svoboda1.531112113R. Hasmanda2.3821090LSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.731312113R. Hasmanda2.00111030WSep 7 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.108311111R. Hasmanda1.6711119133WSep 6 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.8311811113M. Novak1.83411661WSep 6 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.441211113L. Sulava2.6310580LSep 3 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.5011118113R. Hasmanda2.50851161WSep 3 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.251111141152R. Hasmanda1.577131213113WSep 2 · 23:00R. Hasmanda2.6381111113O. Vitrovyj1.44117781WSep 2 · 22:00J. Didi2.5081161342R. Hasmanda1.501181111113LSep 2 · 13:28A. Svoboda1.801111410113R. Hasmanda1.9149111292
V. Dolezal10
LSep 5 · 02:58A. Svoboda1.61711511113V. Dolezal2.2011611862LSep 5 · 02:30V. Dolezal1.731291171O. Kucirek2.0014113113WSep 5 · 01:30M. Stefek2.00115681V. Dolezal1.7391111113LSep 5 · 24:00V. Dolezal2.00911861A. Svoboda1.7311611113LSep 4 · 23:00R. Urban1.83912118113V. Dolezal1.83111061172WSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113LSep 4 · 20:30M. Stefek2.201191011123V. Dolezal1.61911129102LSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.5371114882J. Didi2.381141211113LSep 4 · 18:30A. Svoboda1.839111413123V. Dolezal1.831151611102WSep 3 · 03:04V. Dolezal1.2011139113J. Didi4.335111151
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