TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13090310
Played Sep 7Finished
Adam Svoboda
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1121210119––––
Rotislav Hasmanda
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingAdam Svoboda above · Rotislav Hasmanda below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 55 set 3, 11-9
55 points played in total.
H2H Adam Svoboda 5–2 Rotislav Hasmanda Rotislav Hasmanda has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Svoboda beat Hasmanda 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Svoboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hasmanda form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 1.53 / Hasmanda 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Svoboda)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13090310
Svoboda1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 50 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it89% 32 of 36
Hasmanda2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 68 of 174
Down 0–1, comes back20% 18 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSvoboda5wins
AwayHasmanda2wins
2 of 7 to a deciderSvoboda leads 5–2, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvoboda100%5 of 5
AwayHasmandan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svoboda5Hasmanda2n = 7Svoboda took 5 of 7
S2Svoboda5Hasmanda2n = 7Svoboda took 5 of 7
S3Svoboda3Hasmanda4n = 7Hasmanda took 4 of 7
S4Svoboda3Hasmanda1n = 4Svoboda took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricSvobodaHasmandaS − HBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match37.933.9+4.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaHasmandaBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 277 vs 390 / 78750.9%49.6%141 / 277 vs 390 / 787Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaSvoboda 1.53/Hasmanda 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda—1312113R. Hasmanda—111030
WSep 2 · 13:28A. Svoboda—1111410113R. Hasmanda—49111292
WSep 2 · 12:00A. Svoboda—12811113R. Hasmanda—1011841
LAug 24 · 11:00A. Svoboda—61171192R. Hasmanda—119118113
LAug 22 · 14:30A. Svoboda—81030R. Hasmanda—111253
WDec 30 · 24:00A. Svoboda—11118113R. Hasmanda—771161
WDec 20 · 24:00A. Svoboda—1111123R. Hasmanda—79100
A. Svoboda10
WSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.731312113R. Hasmanda2.00111030WSep 7 · 01:30M. Novak2.00137111192A. Svoboda1.73151196113WSep 7 · 24:00A. Svoboda2.001111123P. Bruzek1.7368100WSep 6 · 23:00L. Sulava2.636450A. Svoboda1.441111113WSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113WSep 6 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83119771A. Svoboda1.8341111113LSep 6 · 14:00A. Svoboda1.8391111662J. Novotny1.83117611113WSep 5 · 02:58A. Svoboda1.61711511113V. Dolezal2.2011611862WSep 5 · 02:00A. Svoboda1.3611711113R. Urban3.00511711
R. Hasmanda10
LSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.731312113R. Hasmanda2.00111030WSep 7 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.108311111R. Hasmanda1.6711119133WSep 6 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.8311811113M. Novak1.83411661WSep 6 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.441211113L. Sulava2.6310580LSep 3 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.5011118113R. Hasmanda2.50851161WSep 3 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.251111141152R. Hasmanda1.577131213113LSep 3 · 24:30R. Hasmanda1.5311810121V. Dolezal2.3861112143WSep 2 · 23:00R. Hasmanda2.6381111113O. Vitrovyj1.44117781WSep 2 · 22:00J. Didi2.5081161342R. Hasmanda1.501181111113LSep 2 · 13:28A. Svoboda1.801111410113R. Hasmanda1.9149111292
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