TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13058285
Played Sep 2Finished
Rotislav Hasmanda
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811117117118––
Oleg Vitrovyj
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:03 and never touched — 67.2% is still 67.2%
Graded at full timeOleg Vitrovyj to win
67.2%
67.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRotislav Hasmanda above · Oleg Vitrovyj below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 74 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Oleg Vitrovyj at 67.2%
74 points played in total.
H2H Rotislav Hasmanda 6–21 Oleg Vitrovyj Rotislav Hasmanda has won 6 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:03What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Vitrovyj
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-21 in 27
Vitrovyj
Wrong
gap of 15 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hasmanda 1426 vs Vitrovyj 1439
Vitrovyj
Wrong
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hasmanda 60% vs Vitrovyj 40%
Hasmanda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hasmanda 40% vs Vitrovyj 60%
Vitrovyj
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hasmanda +1 · Vitrovyj -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Vitrovyj) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vitrovyj form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHasmanda 2.63 / Vitrovyj 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Vitrovyj)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13058285
Hasmanda2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 67 of 174
Down 0–1, comes back19% 17 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 54
Vitrovyj1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 114 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it90% 65 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it74% 82 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHasmanda1wins
AwayVitrovyj9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVitrovyj leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHasmandan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayVitrovyj88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hasmanda1Vitrovyj9n = 10Vitrovyj took 9 of 10
S2Hasmanda3Vitrovyj7n = 10Vitrovyj took 7 of 10
S3Hasmanda3Vitrovyj7n = 10Vitrovyj took 7 of 10
S4Hasmanda4Vitrovyj3n = 7Hasmanda took 4 of 7
S5Hasmanda1Vitrovyj3n = 4Vitrovyj took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHasmandaVitrovyjH − VBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match33.841.2−7.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHasmandaVitrovyjBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 792 vs 350 / 66449.6%52.7%393 / 792 vs 350 / 664Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VitrovyjHasmanda 2.63/Vitrovyj 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.1%
Vitrovyj · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hasmanda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 24:30R. Hasmanda—11891182O. Vitrovyj—611119113
LAug 6 · 24:30R. Hasmanda—431161O. Vitrovyj—11115113
LJun 25 · 01:30R. Hasmanda—7680O. Vitrovyj—1111113
LJun 23 · 03:30R. Hasmanda—8380O. Vitrovyj—1111113
LJun 22 · 23:00R. Hasmanda—81271352O. Vitrovyj—11101111113
LJun 15 · 23:30R. Hasmanda—5811111O. Vitrovyj—11117133
WJun 10 · 01:30R. Hasmanda—911711123O. Vitrovyj—113118102
LJun 9 · 24:30R. Hasmanda—104111152O. Vitrovyj—121194113
LMay 25 · 22:00R. Hasmanda—511951O. Vitrovyj—11711113
LMay 20 · 22:30R. Hasmanda—88100O. Vitrovyj—1111123
R. Hasmanda10
LSep 7 · 03:28A. Svoboda1.531112113R. Hasmanda2.3821090LSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.731312113R. Hasmanda2.00111030WSep 7 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.108311111R. Hasmanda1.6711119133WSep 6 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.8311811113M. Novak1.83411661WSep 6 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.441211113L. Sulava2.6310580LSep 3 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.5011118113R. Hasmanda2.50851161WSep 3 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.251111141152R. Hasmanda1.577131213113LSep 3 · 24:30R. Hasmanda1.5311810121V. Dolezal2.3861112143WSep 2 · 22:00J. Didi2.5081161342R. Hasmanda1.501181111113LSep 2 · 13:28A. Svoboda1.801111410113R. Hasmanda1.9149111292
O. Vitrovyj10
WSep 3 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.5011118113R. Hasmanda2.50851161WSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110WSep 3 · 01:30V. Dolezal2.75981141O. Vitrovyj1.4011114113WSep 3 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj1.441311113P. Bruzek2.6311580LSep 1 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj2.55811691R. Bartunek1.4511611113WSep 1 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.30111090O. Vitrovyj3.401312113LSep 1 · 01:00J. Didi2.25112711113O. Vitrovyj1.5731111772LAug 31 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj1.734880T. Regner2.001111113WAug 31 · 22:00O. Vitrovyj1.571111113O. Kucirek2.255990WAug 31 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.67119117113M. Stefek2.1031181182
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