TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13048067
Played Aug 31Finished
Oleg Vitrovyj
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411811811––––
Tomas Regner
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleg Vitrovyj to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleg Vitrovyj above · Tomas Regner below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 53 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Oleg Vitrovyj at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Oleg Vitrovyj 18–25 Tomas Regner Oleg Vitrovyj has won 18 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:13What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vitrovyj
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-25 in 43
Regner
Correct
gap of 7 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vitrovyj 1464 vs Regner 1482
Regner
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vitrovyj 80% vs Regner 40%
Vitrovyj
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vitrovyj 60% vs Regner 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vitrovyj +2 · Regner +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vitrovyj)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vitrovyj form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVitrovyj 1.73 / Regner 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vitrovyj)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13048067
Vitrovyj1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 115 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it90% 66 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it74% 83 of 112
Regner2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog46% won 125 of 270
Down 0–1, comes back28% 39 of 141
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVitrovyj6wins
AwayRegner4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVitrovyj leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVitrovyj75%3 of 4
AwayRegner50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vitrovyj4Regner6n = 10Regner took 6 of 10
S2Vitrovyj8Regner2n = 10Vitrovyj took 8 of 10
S3Vitrovyj5Regner5n = 10split evenly
S4Vitrovyj3Regner4n = 7Regner took 4 of 7
S5Vitrovyj2Regner1n = 3Vitrovyj took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVitrovyjRegnerV − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.237.8−0.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVitrovyjRegnerBasisWin rate · lifetime351 / 665 vs 485 / 96952.8%50.1%351 / 665 vs 485 / 969Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VitrovyjVitrovyj 1.73/Regner 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vitrovyj · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj—1111123T. Regner—66100
WAug 4 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj—1111133T. Regner—45110
LJul 29 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj—1146101T. Regner—51111123
WJul 15 · 24:30O. Vitrovyj—11118113T. Regner—781191
WJul 13 · 01:00O. Vitrovyj—71115113T. Regner—1151361
LJul 6 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj—51111552T. Regner—117611113
WJul 3 · 01:00O. Vitrovyj—2131014113T. Regner—1111121292
LJun 30 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj—6960T. Regner—1111113
WJun 29 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj—711119133T. Regner—119811112
LJun 25 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj—612461T. Regner—111011113
O. Vitrovyj10
WSep 3 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.5011118113R. Hasmanda2.50851161WSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110WSep 3 · 01:30V. Dolezal2.75981141O. Vitrovyj1.4011114113WSep 3 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj1.441311113P. Bruzek2.6311580LSep 2 · 23:00R. Hasmanda2.6381111113O. Vitrovyj1.44117781LSep 1 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj2.55811691R. Bartunek1.4511611113WSep 1 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.30111090O. Vitrovyj3.401312113LSep 1 · 01:00J. Didi2.25112711113O. Vitrovyj1.5731111772WAug 31 · 22:00O. Vitrovyj1.571111113O. Kucirek2.255990WAug 31 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.67119117113M. Stefek2.1031181182
T. Regner10
LSep 1 · 02:59T. Regner2.257230O. Kucirek1.571111113LSep 1 · 01:30T. Regner2.008560R. Bartunek1.731111113LSep 1 · 24:30O. Kucirek1.7311811113T. Regner2.00511651WAug 31 · 22:30T. Regner2.2511113113J. Didi1.57921171LAug 31 · 21:00T. Regner1.57111112862O. Fejtek2.259131011113LAug 31 · 20:30T. Regner2.257860J. Didi1.571111113WAug 31 · 19:00T. Regner2.201111113O. Fejtek1.617270LAug 31 · 18:30J. Steffan1.5711115113T. Regner2.25771191LAug 30 · 21:29T. Regner1.4011391192J. Moravek2.75611119113WAug 30 · 20:00M. Stefek1.917550T. Regner1.801111113
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