TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13049774
Played Aug 30Finished
Tomas Regner
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116311911119911
Jiri Moravek
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingTomas Regner above · Jiri Moravek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 91 set 5, 9-11
91 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Regner 8–2 Jiri Moravek Jiri Moravek has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Regner)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moravek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 1.40 / Moravek 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Regner)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13049774
Regner1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 98 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it89% 39 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it74% 66 of 89
Moravek2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 12 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRegner8wins
AwayMoravek2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderRegner leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRegner100%7 of 7
AwayMoravek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Regner7Moravek3n = 10Regner took 7 of 10
S2Regner9Moravek1n = 10Regner took 9 of 10
S3Regner9Moravek1n = 10Regner took 9 of 10
S4Regner1Moravek4n = 5Moravek took 4 of 5
S5Regner2Moravek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRegnerMoravekR − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.933.8+7.1per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerMoravekBasisWin rate · lifetime484 / 971 vs 91 / 18849.9%48.4%484 / 971 vs 91 / 188Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.535.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RegnerRegner 1.40/Moravek 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.9%
Regner · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Moravek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 18:30T. Regner—1111113J. Moravek—8790
WApr 19 · 18:00T. Regner—1118113J. Moravek—91670
WOct 27 · 08:30T. Regner—1114113J. Moravek—91230
WOct 19 · 18:00T. Regner—1191193J. Moravek—911241
WOct 12 · 18:30T. Regner—7111112113J. Moravek—11491472
LSep 21 · 19:30T. Regner—913111082J. Moravek—1111612103
WSep 8 · 20:00T. Regner—1111133J. Moravek—59110
LAug 12 · 19:00T. Regner—91115572J. Moravek—1171311113
WJul 28 · 21:30T. Regner—1111113J. Moravek—9320
WJul 28 · 18:00T. Regner—111145113J. Moravek—88111172
T. Regner10
LSep 1 · 02:59T. Regner2.257230O. Kucirek1.571111113LSep 1 · 01:30T. Regner2.008560R. Bartunek1.731111113LSep 1 · 24:30O. Kucirek1.7311811113T. Regner2.00511651WAug 31 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj1.734880T. Regner2.001111113WAug 31 · 22:30T. Regner2.2511113113J. Didi1.57921171LAug 31 · 21:00T. Regner1.57111112862O. Fejtek2.259131011113LAug 31 · 20:30T. Regner2.257860J. Didi1.571111113WAug 31 · 19:00T. Regner2.201111113O. Fejtek1.617270LAug 31 · 18:30J. Steffan1.5711115113T. Regner2.25771191WAug 30 · 20:00M. Stefek1.917550T. Regner1.801111113
J. Moravek10
WAug 30 · 20:30J. Didi3.00116671J. Moravek1.3681111113WAug 30 · 19:30J. Moravek2.001111113M. Stefek1.737690LAug 30 · 18:30T. Regner1.441111113J. Moravek2.638790LAug 27 · 21:28M. Stefek1.831011611113J. Moravek1.8312311662WAug 27 · 20:30J. Moravek1.501111113P. Berdych2.505970WAug 27 · 19:00J. Moravek1.8391111113J. Framberk1.83114891LAug 27 · 18:00M. Stefek1.8311117113J. Moravek1.83791141LJul 14 · 20:58J. Moravek1.801413851J. Framberk1.91161111113LJul 14 · 20:00J. Moravek2.10116761M. Trinta1.6751111113WJul 14 · 19:30J. Framberk1.67111181182J. Moravek2.10413118113
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