TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13032638
Played Aug 27Finished
Martin Stefek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012113611116116
Jiri Moravek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingMartin Stefek above · Jiri Moravek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 87 set 5, 11-6
87 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stefek 1–4 Jiri Moravek Martin Stefek has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Moravek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stefek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefek 1.83 / Moravek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Moravek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13032638
Stefek1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Moravek1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeStefek1wins
AwayMoravek4wins
1 of 5 to a deciderMoravek leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStefek33.3%1 of 3
AwayMoravekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stefek3Moravek2n = 5Stefek took 3 of 5
S2Stefek3Moravek2n = 5Stefek took 3 of 5
S3Stefek1Moravek4n = 5Moravek took 4 of 5
S4Stefek1Moravek4n = 5Moravek took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away360%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricStefekMoravekS − MBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match38.841.4−2.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefekMoravekBasisWin rate · lifetime567 / 1183 vs 89 / 18447.9%48.4%567 / 1183 vs 89 / 184Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravekStefek 1.83/Moravek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Moravek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stefek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WMay 22 · 18:00M. Stefek—11119113J. Moravek—821191
LMay 17 · 16:59M. Stefek—711681J. Moravek—11211113
LMay 17 · 14:30M. Stefek—118381J. Moravek—81111113
LMay 12 · 20:59M. Stefek—1112981J. Moravek—131011113
LMay 12 · 20:30M. Stefek—16911952J. Moravek—1411911113
M. Stefek10
LSep 7 · 09:00K. Darin1.50111214113M. Stefek2.502101671LSep 7 · 08:00M. Stefek1.67141011472T. Andrle2.101212911113LSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:30J. Novotny1.5091111113M. Stefek2.50118721LSep 6 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83119771A. Svoboda1.8341111113LSep 6 · 14:30F. Briza1.33111411113M. Stefek3.25216781LSep 6 · 13:00J. Briska2.2031111113M. Stefek1.61119951LSep 6 · 12:00M. Stefek2.258670J. Briska1.571111113
J. Moravek10
WAug 30 · 21:29T. Regner1.4011391192J. Moravek2.75611119113WAug 30 · 20:30J. Didi3.00116671J. Moravek1.3681111113WAug 30 · 19:30J. Moravek2.001111113M. Stefek1.737690LAug 30 · 18:30T. Regner1.441111113J. Moravek2.638790WAug 27 · 20:30J. Moravek1.501111113P. Berdych2.505970WAug 27 · 19:00J. Moravek1.8391111113J. Framberk1.83114891LAug 27 · 18:00M. Stefek1.8311117113J. Moravek1.83791141LJul 14 · 20:58J. Moravek1.801413851J. Framberk1.91161111113LJul 14 · 20:00J. Moravek2.10116761M. Trinta1.6751111113WJul 14 · 19:30J. Framberk1.67111181182J. Moravek2.10413118113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.