TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13042345
Played Aug 30Finished
Julius Didi
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118611611711––
Jiri Moravek
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:47 and never touched — 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timeJiri Moravek to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJulius Didi above · Jiri Moravek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 71 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Jiri Moravek at 70.4%
71 points played in total.
H2H Julius Didi 0–5 Jiri Moravek Julius Didi has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:47What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Moravek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-5 in 5
Moravek
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Didi 1436 vs Moravek 1426
Didi
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didi 40% vs Moravek 60%
Moravek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didi 40% vs Moravek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Didi +1 · Moravek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Moravek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moravek form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidi 3.00 / Moravek 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Moravek)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13042345
Didi3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 93 of 217
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 61
Moravek1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 29 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it83% 19 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeDidi0wins
AwayMoravek5wins
Moravek leads 5–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDidin = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayMoravek100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Didi0Moravek5n = 5Moravek took 5 of 5
S2Didi3Moravek2n = 5Didi took 3 of 5
S3Didi1Moravek4n = 5Moravek took 4 of 5
S4Didi0Moravek4n = 4Moravek took 4 of 4
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away480%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricDidiMoravekD − MBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set05−5of 5Avg pointsper match34.441.6−7.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidiMoravekBasisWin rate · lifetime379 / 735 vs 90 / 18751.6%48.1%379 / 735 vs 90 / 187Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.835.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravekDidi 3.00/Moravek 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.4%
Moravek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Moravek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJul 9 · 20:00J. Didi—106100J. Moravek—1211123
LJun 27 · 21:30J. Didi—1011581J. Moravek—12811113
LJun 27 · 18:30J. Didi—101111101J. Moravek—12813123
LApr 26 · 20:00J. Didi—491171J. Moravek—11119113
LApr 18 · 18:00J. Didi—12111151J. Moravek—14613113
J. Didi10
LSep 7 · 08:30K. Darin1.44121111113J. Didi2.63147991WSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113LSep 4 · 20:00J. Didi1.30114871A. Svoboda3.4041111113WSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.5371114882J. Didi2.381141211113LSep 4 · 18:00J. Didi1.731198101M. Stefek2.0011111123LSep 3 · 03:04V. Dolezal1.2011139113J. Didi4.335111151LSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110WSep 3 · 01:00P. Bruzek1.6161151122J. Didi2.20119115113
J. Moravek10
WAug 30 · 21:29T. Regner1.4011391192J. Moravek2.75611119113WAug 30 · 19:30J. Moravek2.001111113M. Stefek1.737690LAug 30 · 18:30T. Regner1.441111113J. Moravek2.638790LAug 27 · 21:28M. Stefek1.831011611113J. Moravek1.8312311662WAug 27 · 20:30J. Moravek1.501111113P. Berdych2.505970WAug 27 · 19:00J. Moravek1.8391111113J. Framberk1.83114891LAug 27 · 18:00M. Stefek1.8311117113J. Moravek1.83791141LJul 14 · 20:58J. Moravek1.801413851J. Framberk1.91161111113LJul 14 · 20:00J. Moravek2.10116761M. Trinta1.6751111113WJul 14 · 19:30J. Framberk1.67111181182J. Moravek2.10413118113
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