TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13040963
Played Aug 30Finished
Tomas Regner
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117119––––
Jiri Moravek
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:09 and never touched — 64.3% is still 64.3%
Graded at full timeTomas Regner to win
64.3%
64.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
118117119––––
H2H Tomas Regner 8–3 Jiri Moravek Jiri Moravek has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:09What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Regner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-3 in 11
Regner
Correct
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Regner 1490 vs Moravek 1462
Regner
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 60% vs Moravek 40%
Regner
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 50% vs Moravek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner +1 · Moravek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Regner) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 1.44 / Moravek 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Regner)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13040963
Regner1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 98 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it89% 39 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it74% 66 of 89
Moravek2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 12 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRegner7wins
AwayMoravek3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderRegner leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRegner85.7%6 of 7
AwayMoravek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Regner7Moravek3n = 10Regner took 7 of 10
S2Regner8Moravek2n = 10Regner took 8 of 10
S3Regner9Moravek1n = 10Regner took 9 of 10
S4Regner2Moravek3n = 5Moravek took 3 of 5
S5Regner1Moravek3n = 4Moravek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRegnerMoravekR − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.034.1+6.9per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerMoravekBasisWin rate · lifetime484 / 972 vs 92 / 18949.8%48.7%484 / 972 vs 92 / 189Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RegnerRegner 1.44/Moravek 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Regner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 21:29T. Regner—11391192J. Moravek—611119113
WAug 30 · 18:30T. Regner—1111113J. Moravek—8790
WApr 19 · 18:00T. Regner—1118113J. Moravek—91670
WOct 27 · 08:30T. Regner—1114113J. Moravek—91230
WOct 19 · 18:00T. Regner—1191193J. Moravek—911241
WOct 12 · 18:30T. Regner—7111112113J. Moravek—11491472
LSep 21 · 19:30T. Regner—913111082J. Moravek—1111612103
WSep 8 · 20:00T. Regner—1111133J. Moravek—59110
LAug 12 · 19:00T. Regner—91115572J. Moravek—1171311113
WJul 28 · 21:30T. Regner—1111113J. Moravek—9320
T. Regner10
LSep 1 · 02:59T. Regner2.257230O. Kucirek1.571111113LSep 1 · 01:30T. Regner2.008560R. Bartunek1.731111113LSep 1 · 24:30O. Kucirek1.7311811113T. Regner2.00511651WAug 31 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj1.734880T. Regner2.001111113WAug 31 · 22:30T. Regner2.2511113113J. Didi1.57921171LAug 31 · 21:00T. Regner1.57111112862O. Fejtek2.259131011113LAug 31 · 20:30T. Regner2.257860J. Didi1.571111113WAug 31 · 19:00T. Regner2.201111113O. Fejtek1.617270LAug 31 · 18:30J. Steffan1.5711115113T. Regner2.25771191LAug 30 · 21:29T. Regner1.4011391192J. Moravek2.75611119113
J. Moravek10
WAug 30 · 21:29T. Regner1.4011391192J. Moravek2.75611119113WAug 30 · 20:30J. Didi3.00116671J. Moravek1.3681111113WAug 30 · 19:30J. Moravek2.001111113M. Stefek1.737690LAug 27 · 21:28M. Stefek1.831011611113J. Moravek1.8312311662WAug 27 · 20:30J. Moravek1.501111113P. Berdych2.505970WAug 27 · 19:00J. Moravek1.8391111113J. Framberk1.83114891LAug 27 · 18:00M. Stefek1.8311117113J. Moravek1.83791141LJul 14 · 20:58J. Moravek1.801413851J. Framberk1.91161111113LJul 14 · 20:00J. Moravek2.10116761M. Trinta1.6751111113WJul 14 · 19:30J. Framberk1.67111181182J. Moravek2.10413118113
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