TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13048153
Played Aug 31Finished
Tomas Regner
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117112117––––
Ondrej Fejtek
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Fejtek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Regner above · Ondrej Fejtek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 49 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Ondrej Fejtek at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:43What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Fejtek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Regner 1487 vs Fejtek 1485
Regner
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 40% vs Fejtek 20%
Regner
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 50% vs Fejtek 30%
Regner
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner -2 · Fejtek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Fejtek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fejtek form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 2.20 / Fejtek 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Fejtek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13048153
Regner2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 125 of 270
Down 0–1, comes back28% 39 of 141
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 68
Fejtek1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerFejtekBasisWin rate · lifetime483 / 968 vs 27 / 4649.9%58.7%483 / 968 vs 27 / 46Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FejtekRegner 2.20/Fejtek 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Fejtek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Regner won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Regner10
LSep 1 · 02:59T. Regner2.257230O. Kucirek1.571111113LSep 1 · 01:30T. Regner2.008560R. Bartunek1.731111113LSep 1 · 24:30O. Kucirek1.7311811113T. Regner2.00511651WAug 31 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj1.734880T. Regner2.001111113WAug 31 · 22:30T. Regner2.2511113113J. Didi1.57921171LAug 31 · 21:00T. Regner1.57111112862O. Fejtek2.259131011113LAug 31 · 20:30T. Regner2.257860J. Didi1.571111113LAug 31 · 18:30J. Steffan1.5711115113T. Regner2.25771191LAug 30 · 21:29T. Regner1.4011391192J. Moravek2.75611119113WAug 30 · 20:00M. Stefek1.917550T. Regner1.801111113
O. Fejtek10
WAug 31 · 21:00T. Regner1.57111112862O. Fejtek2.259131011113WAug 31 · 20:00J. Steffan1.91118991O. Fejtek1.8061111113LAug 31 · 18:30O. Fejtek1.679118101J. Didi2.1011711123LJan 27 · 02:30O. Fejtek1.44111171062D. Parhomenko2.63451112113WJan 27 · 01:30A. Mikuska2.101191161O. Fejtek1.6713119113LJan 27 · 24:30J. Blazek1.73149138163O. Fejtek2.0012111111142LJan 26 · 23:30O. Fejtek1.808550L. Babicka1.911111113LDec 27 · 22:00B. Nguyen1.73117911113O. Fejtek2.0091111762WDec 27 · 21:00O. Fejtek1.73111185113B. Nguyen2.0065111192LDec 27 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk2.2011119113O. Fejtek1.61971191
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