TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13048149
Played Aug 31Finished
Tomas Regner
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119112311117––
Julius Didi
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:42 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeJulius Didi to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Regner above · Julius Didi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 65 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Julius Didi at 63.7%
65 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Regner 6–14 Julius Didi Tomas Regner has won 6 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:42What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Didi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-14 in 20
Didi
Wrong
gap of 8 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Regner 1482 vs Didi 1442
Regner
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 20% vs Didi 60%
Didi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 40% vs Didi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner -2 · Didi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Didi) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Regner form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 2.25 / Didi 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Didi)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13048149
Regner2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 125 of 270
Down 0–1, comes back28% 39 of 141
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 68
Didi1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 99 of 158
Up 2–0, closes it88% 49 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it73% 71 of 97
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRegner1wins
AwayDidi9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDidi leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRegner0%0 of 4
AwayDidi83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Regner4Didi6n = 10Didi took 6 of 10
S2Regner3Didi7n = 10Didi took 7 of 10
S3Regner2Didi8n = 10Didi took 8 of 10
S4Regner1Didi5n = 6Didi took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricRegnerDidiR − DBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.240.8−8.6per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerDidiBasisWin rate · lifetime485 / 969 vs 382 / 74250.1%51.5%485 / 969 vs 382 / 742Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DidiRegner 2.25/Didi 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.5%
Didi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 20:30T. Regner—7860J. Didi—1111113
LAug 30 · 19:00T. Regner—1112591J. Didi—91411113
LAug 19 · 23:00T. Regner—1110591J. Didi—51211113
WAug 18 · 03:00T. Regner—41212113J. Didi—11101061
LAug 18 · 02:00T. Regner—8121481J. Didi—111412113
LAug 9 · 08:30T. Regner—1350J. Didi—1111113
LAug 8 · 20:30T. Regner—111167152J. Didi—931111173
LAug 8 · 07:00T. Regner—8860J. Didi—1111113
LAug 6 · 20:00T. Regner—61030J. Didi—1112113
LAug 4 · 18:00T. Regner—121146152J. Didi—1061111173
T. Regner10
LSep 1 · 02:59T. Regner2.257230O. Kucirek1.571111113LSep 1 · 01:30T. Regner2.008560R. Bartunek1.731111113LSep 1 · 24:30O. Kucirek1.7311811113T. Regner2.00511651WAug 31 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj1.734880T. Regner2.001111113LAug 31 · 21:00T. Regner1.57111112862O. Fejtek2.259131011113LAug 31 · 20:30T. Regner2.257860J. Didi1.571111113WAug 31 · 19:00T. Regner2.201111113O. Fejtek1.617270LAug 31 · 18:30J. Steffan1.5711115113T. Regner2.25771191LAug 30 · 21:29T. Regner1.4011391192J. Moravek2.75611119113WAug 30 · 20:00M. Stefek1.917550T. Regner1.801111113
J. Didi10
WSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113LSep 4 · 20:00J. Didi1.30114871A. Svoboda3.4041111113WSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.5371114882J. Didi2.381141211113LSep 4 · 18:00J. Didi1.731198101M. Stefek2.0011111123LSep 3 · 03:04V. Dolezal1.2011139113J. Didi4.335111151LSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110WSep 3 · 01:00P. Bruzek1.6161151122J. Didi2.20119115113WAug 31 · 20:30T. Regner2.257860J. Didi1.571111113
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