TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13048151
Played Aug 31Finished
Tomas Regner
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811611––––
Julius Didi
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:43 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeJulius Didi to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Regner above · Julius Didi below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 54 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Julius Didi at 63.7%
54 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Regner 6–13 Julius Didi Tomas Regner has won 6 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:43What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Didi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-13 in 19
Didi
Correct
gap of 7 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Regner 1501 vs Didi 1442
Regner
Wrong
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 40% vs Didi 60%
Didi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 50% vs Didi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner +1 · Didi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Didi) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 2.25 / Didi 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Didi)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13048151
Regner2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 125 of 270
Down 0–1, comes back28% 39 of 141
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 68
Didi1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 99 of 158
Up 2–0, closes it88% 49 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it73% 71 of 97
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRegner2wins
AwayDidi8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDidi leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRegner20%1 of 5
AwayDidi80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Regner5Didi5n = 10split evenly
S2Regner4Didi6n = 10Didi took 6 of 10
S3Regner2Didi8n = 10Didi took 8 of 10
S4Regner2Didi5n = 7Didi took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricRegnerDidiR − DBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.641.0−6.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerDidiBasisWin rate · lifetime484 / 968 vs 381 / 73950%51.6%484 / 968 vs 381 / 739Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DidiRegner 2.25/Didi 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Didi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Didi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 19:00T. Regner—1112591J. Didi—91411113
LAug 19 · 23:00T. Regner—1110591J. Didi—51211113
WAug 18 · 03:00T. Regner—41212113J. Didi—11101061
LAug 18 · 02:00T. Regner—8121481J. Didi—111412113
LAug 9 · 08:30T. Regner—1350J. Didi—1111113
LAug 8 · 20:30T. Regner—111167152J. Didi—931111173
LAug 8 · 07:00T. Regner—8860J. Didi—1111113
LAug 6 · 20:00T. Regner—61030J. Didi—1112113
LAug 4 · 18:00T. Regner—121146152J. Didi—1061111173
WAug 3 · 23:00T. Regner—11149113J. Didi—3121191
T. Regner10
LSep 1 · 02:59T. Regner2.257230O. Kucirek1.571111113LSep 1 · 01:30T. Regner2.008560R. Bartunek1.731111113LSep 1 · 24:30O. Kucirek1.7311811113T. Regner2.00511651WAug 31 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj1.734880T. Regner2.001111113WAug 31 · 22:30T. Regner2.2511113113J. Didi1.57921171LAug 31 · 21:00T. Regner1.57111112862O. Fejtek2.259131011113WAug 31 · 19:00T. Regner2.201111113O. Fejtek1.617270LAug 31 · 18:30J. Steffan1.5711115113T. Regner2.25771191LAug 30 · 21:29T. Regner1.4011391192J. Moravek2.75611119113WAug 30 · 20:00M. Stefek1.917550T. Regner1.801111113
J. Didi10
WSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113LSep 4 · 20:00J. Didi1.30114871A. Svoboda3.4041111113WSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.5371114882J. Didi2.381141211113LSep 4 · 18:00J. Didi1.731198101M. Stefek2.0011111123LSep 3 · 03:04V. Dolezal1.2011139113J. Didi4.335111151LSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110WSep 3 · 01:00P. Bruzek1.6161151122J. Didi2.20119115113LAug 31 · 22:30T. Regner2.2511113113J. Didi1.57921171
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