TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059509
Played Sep 3Finished
Oleg Vitrovyj
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1111191311––––
Julius Didi
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:32 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeOleg Vitrovyj to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleg Vitrovyj above · Julius Didi below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 56 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Oleg Vitrovyj at 54.1%
56 points played in total.
H2H Oleg Vitrovyj 5–4 Julius Didi Julius Didi has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:32What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vitrovyj
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vitrovyj 1452 vs Didi 1464
Didi
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vitrovyj 60% vs Didi 80%
Didi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vitrovyj 50% vs Didi 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vitrovyj +2 · Didi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vitrovyj)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Didi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVitrovyj 1.73 / Didi 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vitrovyj)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13059509
Vitrovyj1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 114 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it90% 65 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it74% 82 of 111
Didi2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 95 of 223
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeVitrovyj5wins
AwayDidi4wins
3 of 9 to a deciderVitrovyj leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVitrovyj60%3 of 5
AwayDidi50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vitrovyj5Didi4n = 9Vitrovyj took 5 of 9
S2Vitrovyj6Didi3n = 9Vitrovyj took 6 of 9
S3Vitrovyj5Didi4n = 9Vitrovyj took 5 of 9
S4Vitrovyj4Didi4n = 8split evenly
S5Vitrovyj1Didi2n = 3Didi took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricVitrovyjDidiV − DBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match38.036.0+2.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVitrovyjDidiBasisWin rate · lifetime352 / 667 vs 386 / 74852.8%51.6%352 / 667 vs 386 / 748Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VitrovyjVitrovyj 1.73/Didi 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Vitrovyj · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vitrovyj won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 1 · 01:00O. Vitrovyj—31111772J. Didi—112711113
WAug 22 · 24:30O. Vitrovyj—12116113J. Didi—1061151
LAug 20 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj—9119101J. Didi—11511123
WAug 20 · 01:30O. Vitrovyj—71111123J. Didi—1177101
WAug 17 · 23:00O. Vitrovyj—113124113J. Didi—811101192
WAug 13 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj—71114113J. Didi—1101261
LAug 3 · 22:00O. Vitrovyj—1111431J. Didi—71311113
LApr 18 · 24:30O. Vitrovyj—11291172J. Didi—911119113
WFeb 1 · 16:00O. Vitrovyj—111183J. Didi—1130
O. Vitrovyj10
WSep 3 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.5011118113R. Hasmanda2.50851161WSep 3 · 01:30V. Dolezal2.75981141O. Vitrovyj1.4011114113WSep 3 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj1.441311113P. Bruzek2.6311580LSep 2 · 23:00R. Hasmanda2.6381111113O. Vitrovyj1.44117781LSep 1 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj2.55811691R. Bartunek1.4511611113WSep 1 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.30111090O. Vitrovyj3.401312113LSep 1 · 01:00J. Didi2.25112711113O. Vitrovyj1.5731111772LAug 31 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj1.734880T. Regner2.001111113WAug 31 · 22:00O. Vitrovyj1.571111113O. Kucirek2.255990WAug 31 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.67119117113M. Stefek2.1031181182
J. Didi10
WSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113LSep 4 · 20:00J. Didi1.30114871A. Svoboda3.4041111113WSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.5371114882J. Didi2.381141211113LSep 4 · 18:00J. Didi1.731198101M. Stefek2.0011111123LSep 3 · 03:04V. Dolezal1.2011139113J. Didi4.335111151WSep 3 · 01:00P. Bruzek1.6161151122J. Didi2.20119115113WSep 2 · 23:30J. Didi2.38118119123V. Dolezal1.53411711102WSep 1 · 01:00J. Didi2.25112711113O. Vitrovyj1.5731111772
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