TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13057001
Played Sep 1Finished
Oleg Vitrovyj
Home
2.55
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811116611911––
Radek Bartunek
Away
1.45
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:04 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeRadek Bartunek to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleg Vitrovyj above · Radek Bartunek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 73 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Radek Bartunek at 61.6%
73 points played in total.
H2H Oleg Vitrovyj 3–16 Radek Bartunek Oleg Vitrovyj has won 3 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:04What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.45 (64%)
Bartunek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-16 in 19
Bartunek
Correct
gap of 13 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vitrovyj 1457 vs Bartunek 1512
Bartunek
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vitrovyj 60% vs Bartunek 40%
Vitrovyj
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vitrovyj 60% vs Bartunek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vitrovyj +1 · Bartunek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Bartunek) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartunek form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVitrovyj 2.55 / Bartunek 1.45
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Bartunek)+4.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13057001
Vitrovyj2.55
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 44 of 113
Down 0–1, comes back18% 9 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Bartunek1.45
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 101 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it93% 56 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it84% 77 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVitrovyj3wins
AwayBartunek7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderBartunek leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVitrovyj60%3 of 5
AwayBartunek100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vitrovyj5Bartunek5n = 10split evenly
S2Vitrovyj4Bartunek6n = 10Bartunek took 6 of 10
S3Vitrovyj2Bartunek8n = 10Bartunek took 8 of 10
S4Vitrovyj1Bartunek2n = 3Bartunek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricVitrovyjBartunekV − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match30.332.3−2.0per matchSweeps25−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVitrovyjBartunekBasisWin rate · lifetime352 / 668 vs 345 / 66052.7%52.3%352 / 668 vs 345 / 660Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartunekVitrovyj 2.55/Bartunek 1.45
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68%
Bartunek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bartunek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj—1312113R. Bartunek—111090
LAug 29 · 02:00O. Vitrovyj—1110951R. Bartunek—81211113
LAug 24 · 03:41O. Vitrovyj—10670R. Bartunek—1211113
LAug 23 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj—11117832R. Bartunek—861111113
LAug 21 · 22:00O. Vitrovyj—48100R. Bartunek—1111123
LAug 18 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj—8280R. Bartunek—1111113
WAug 18 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj—1111113R. Bartunek—4360
LAug 13 · 03:00O. Vitrovyj—91090R. Bartunek—1112113
WAug 13 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj—11119113R. Bartunek—621141
LAug 6 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj—9980R. Bartunek—1111113
O. Vitrovyj10
WSep 3 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.5011118113R. Hasmanda2.50851161WSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110WSep 3 · 01:30V. Dolezal2.75981141O. Vitrovyj1.4011114113WSep 3 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj1.441311113P. Bruzek2.6311580LSep 2 · 23:00R. Hasmanda2.6381111113O. Vitrovyj1.44117781WSep 1 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.30111090O. Vitrovyj3.401312113LSep 1 · 01:00J. Didi2.25112711113O. Vitrovyj1.5731111772LAug 31 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj1.734880T. Regner2.001111113WAug 31 · 22:00O. Vitrovyj1.571111113O. Kucirek2.255990WAug 31 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.67119117113M. Stefek2.1031181182
R. Bartunek10
LSep 5 · 02:00K. Darin1.531111113R. Bartunek2.385690LSep 5 · 24:30R. Bartunek2.75114110D. Horak1.401311133LSep 4 · 23:00R. Bartunek2.00491131Y. Holovatiuk1.7311114113WSep 4 · 22:00J. Steffan1.8011115632R. Bartunek1.91491111113WSep 2 · 20:58V. Dolezal1.61119591R. Bartunek2.2051111113LSep 2 · 20:00R. Bartunek2.631111581M. Fisera1.4413811113LSep 2 · 19:30O. Kucirek2.2513111011113R. Bartunek1.5715912782LSep 2 · 18:00R. Bartunek2.0015311862V. Dolezal1.731311811113LSep 1 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.30111090O. Vitrovyj3.401312113WSep 1 · 01:30T. Regner2.008560R. Bartunek1.731111113
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