TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13058283
Played Sep 2Finished
Radek Bartunek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1513311118811611
Vaclav Dolezal
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:04 and never touched — 55.0% is still 55.0%
Graded at full timeVaclav Dolezal to win
55.0%
55.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Bartunek above · Vaclav Dolezal below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 97 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Vaclav Dolezal at 55.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Radek Bartunek 11–18 Vaclav Dolezal Radek Bartunek has won 11 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:04What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dolezal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-18 in 29
Dolezal
Correct
gap of 7 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bartunek 1531 vs Dolezal 1492
Bartunek
Wrong
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bartunek 60% vs Dolezal 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bartunek 70% vs Dolezal 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bartunek +1 · Dolezal +3
Dolezal
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dolezal) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBartunek 2.00 / Dolezal 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dolezal)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13058283
Bartunek2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 54 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back25% 19 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 49
Dolezal1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 133 of 204
Up 2–0, closes it96% 64 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it81% 98 of 121
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBartunek4wins
AwayDolezal6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDolezal leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBartunek50%2 of 4
AwayDolezal66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bartunek4Dolezal6n = 10Dolezal took 6 of 10
S2Bartunek3Dolezal7n = 10Dolezal took 7 of 10
S3Bartunek7Dolezal3n = 10Bartunek took 7 of 10
S4Bartunek3Dolezal6n = 9Dolezal took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartunekDolezalB − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.139.6−1.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartunekDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime346 / 661 vs 364 / 73752.3%49.4%346 / 661 vs 364 / 737Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalBartunek 2.00/Dolezal 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dolezal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 21 · 03:07R. Bartunek—11141412113V. Dolezal—316121492
LAug 21 · 02:30R. Bartunek—1112731V. Dolezal—71411113
LJun 6 · 24:00R. Bartunek—68100V. Dolezal—1111123
WMay 18 · 21:00R. Bartunek—41111113V. Dolezal—114761
LMay 18 · 19:30R. Bartunek—91111962V. Dolezal—119711113
LMay 15 · 22:00R. Bartunek—471191V. Dolezal—11118113
LMay 6 · 16:00R. Bartunek—11101151V. Dolezal—13129113
WMar 22 · 03:30R. Bartunek—71112123V. Dolezal—11510101
WJan 31 · 23:30R. Bartunek—11511113V. Dolezal—511751
LNov 29 · 22:00R. Bartunek—118571V. Dolezal—51111113
R. Bartunek10
LSep 5 · 02:00K. Darin1.531111113R. Bartunek2.385690LSep 5 · 24:30R. Bartunek2.75114110D. Horak1.401311133LSep 4 · 23:00R. Bartunek2.00491131Y. Holovatiuk1.7311114113WSep 4 · 22:00J. Steffan1.8011115632R. Bartunek1.91491111113WSep 2 · 20:58V. Dolezal1.61119591R. Bartunek2.2051111113LSep 2 · 20:00R. Bartunek2.631111581M. Fisera1.4413811113LSep 2 · 19:30O. Kucirek2.2513111011113R. Bartunek1.5715912782WSep 1 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj2.55811691R. Bartunek1.4511611113LSep 1 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.30111090O. Vitrovyj3.401312113WSep 1 · 01:30T. Regner2.008560R. Bartunek1.731111113
V. Dolezal10
LSep 5 · 02:58A. Svoboda1.61711511113V. Dolezal2.2011611862LSep 5 · 02:30V. Dolezal1.731291171O. Kucirek2.0014113113WSep 5 · 01:30M. Stefek2.00115681V. Dolezal1.7391111113LSep 5 · 24:00V. Dolezal2.00911861A. Svoboda1.7311611113LSep 4 · 23:00R. Urban1.83912118113V. Dolezal1.83111061172WSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113LSep 4 · 20:30M. Stefek2.201191011123V. Dolezal1.61911129102LSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.5371114882J. Didi2.381141211113LSep 4 · 18:30A. Svoboda1.839111413123V. Dolezal1.831151611102LSep 2 · 20:58V. Dolezal1.61119591R. Bartunek2.2051111113
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