TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071750
Played Sep 5Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116119––––
Radek Bartunek
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:38 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timeKyryl Darin to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Radek Bartunek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 53 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Kyryl Darin at 58.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 33–15 Radek Bartunek Radek Bartunek has won 15 of their 48 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:38What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Darin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-15 in 48
Darin
Correct
gap of 18 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Darin 1364 vs Bartunek 1479
Bartunek
Wrong
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Darin 60% vs Bartunek 40%
Darin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Darin 40% vs Bartunek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Darin +1 · Bartunek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Darin) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 1.53 / Bartunek 2.38
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Darin)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13071750
Darin1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 163 of 285
Up 2–0, closes it93% 82 of 88
Up 1–0, closes it75% 112 of 149
Bartunek2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 53 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back25% 19 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin8wins
AwayBartunek2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDarin leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin83.3%5 of 6
AwayBartunek25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin6Bartunek4n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S2Darin8Bartunek2n = 10Darin took 8 of 10
S3Darin8Bartunek2n = 10Darin took 8 of 10
S4Darin3Bartunek4n = 7Bartunek took 4 of 7
S5Darin2Bartunek1n = 3Darin took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinBartunekD − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.832.5+8.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinBartunekBasisWin rate · lifetime752 / 1547 vs 348 / 66848.6%52.1%752 / 1547 vs 348 / 668Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DarinDarin 1.53/Bartunek 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.6%
Darin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 19 · 03:28K. Darin—11111111113R. Bartunek—98131392
LJul 19 · 24:00K. Darin—811116102R. Bartunek—116811123
WJul 10 · 22:00K. Darin—1111123R. Bartunek—84100
WJul 8 · 22:00K. Darin—11911113R. Bartunek—811641
WJul 8 · 13:30K. Darin—71111113R. Bartunek—118651
WJul 8 · 12:00K. Darin—1111113R. Bartunek—4670
LJul 5 · 19:00K. Darin—1381071R. Bartunek—111112113
WFeb 21 · 02:30K. Darin—1111113R. Bartunek—4270
WFeb 19 · 15:00K. Darin—711115113R. Bartunek—11751172
WJan 17 · 24:00K. Darin—91111113R. Bartunek—113951
K. Darin10
LSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113LSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 13:01K. Darin1.80961171L. Malek1.9111115113LSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 6 · 11:30L. Malek2.009120K. Darin1.731111113LSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113LSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:30K. Darin2.505511101J. Plachy1.5011118123LSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123WSep 5 · 18:00L. Krok1.83911551K. Darin1.8311711113
R. Bartunek10
LSep 5 · 24:30R. Bartunek2.75114110D. Horak1.401311133LSep 4 · 23:00R. Bartunek2.00491131Y. Holovatiuk1.7311114113WSep 4 · 22:00J. Steffan1.8011115632R. Bartunek1.91491111113WSep 2 · 20:58V. Dolezal1.61119591R. Bartunek2.2051111113LSep 2 · 20:00R. Bartunek2.631111581M. Fisera1.4413811113LSep 2 · 19:30O. Kucirek2.2513111011113R. Bartunek1.5715912782LSep 2 · 18:00R. Bartunek2.0015311862V. Dolezal1.731311811113WSep 1 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj2.55811691R. Bartunek1.4511611113LSep 1 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.30111090O. Vitrovyj3.401312113WSep 1 · 01:30T. Regner2.008560R. Bartunek1.731111113
Upcoming Matches
K. Darin
R. Bartunek
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.