TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13081866
Played Sep 6Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119811411119811
Frantisek Briza
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Briza to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Frantisek Briza below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 93 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Frantisek Briza at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 16–31 Frantisek Briza Kyryl Darin has won 16 of their 47 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:29What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Darin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-31 in 47
Briza
Correct
gap of 15 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Darin 1376 vs Briza 1425
Briza
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Darin 20% vs Briza 40%
Briza
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Darin 50% vs Briza 30%
Darin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Darin -3 · Briza -1
Darin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Darin) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Darin form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 1.61 / Briza 2.20
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Darin)-0.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13081866
Darin1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 162 of 285
Up 2–0, closes it92% 82 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it75% 112 of 150
Briza2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 82 of 233
Down 0–1, comes back24% 32 of 134
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin5wins
AwayBriza5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarinn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBriza50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin2Briza8n = 10Briza took 8 of 10
S2Darin5Briza5n = 10split evenly
S3Darin4Briza6n = 10Briza took 6 of 10
S4Darin6Briza0n = 6Darin took 6 of 6
S5Darin2Briza2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinBrizaD − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.637.5−0.9per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinBrizaBasisWin rate · lifetime749 / 1545 vs 377 / 82448.5%45.8%749 / 1545 vs 377 / 824Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DarinDarin 1.61/Briza 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Darin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Briza won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 29 · 01:30K. Darin—811811113F. Briza—11311692
WJul 27 · 18:30K. Darin—111113123F. Briza—13511101
WJul 26 · 20:30K. Darin—911311123F. Briza—119118102
LJul 26 · 16:30K. Darin—56111272F. Briza—1111710113
WApr 15 · 17:10K. Darin—1111113F. Briza—6480
LApr 15 · 16:30K. Darin—2580F. Briza—1111113
WApr 7 · 13:04K. Darin—91111113F. Briza—116451
LApr 7 · 12:30K. Darin—138101192F. Briza—1111129113
LApr 6 · 01:00K. Darin—4950F. Briza—1111113
LApr 4 · 12:00K. Darin—8790F. Briza—1111113
K. Darin10
LSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 13:01K. Darin1.80961171L. Malek1.9111115113LSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 6 · 11:30L. Malek2.009120K. Darin1.731111113LSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:30K. Darin2.505511101J. Plachy1.5011118123LSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123WSep 5 · 18:00L. Krok1.83911551K. Darin1.8311711113LSep 5 · 03:28Y. Holovatiuk1.8311511153K. Darin1.830118131WSep 5 · 02:00K. Darin1.531111113R. Bartunek2.385690
F. Briza10
WSep 6 · 17:30F. Briza1.8012711113J. Novotny1.911011651WSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113WSep 6 · 15:00J. Novotny2.00411691F. Briza1.7311211113WSep 6 · 14:30F. Briza1.33111411113M. Stefek3.25216781LSep 6 · 13:30F. Jungman1.571111113F. Briza2.257980WSep 6 · 12:30F. Briza1.531111113L. Malek2.387860LSep 6 · 11:00F. Briza2.006820F. Jungman1.731111113LSep 2 · 17:30Y. Holovatiuk1.39971111113F. Briza2.5511112952WSep 2 · 16:30F. Briza2.2511111111113D. Horak1.5741381372LSep 2 · 15:00F. Briza2.506650Y. Holovatiuk1.501111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.