TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13066215
Played Sep 2Finished
Yurii Holovatiuk
Home
1.39
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911711112119115
Frantisek Briza
Away
2.55
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:08 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeYurii Holovatiuk to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Holovatiuk above · Frantisek Briza below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 87 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Yurii Holovatiuk at 60.8%
87 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Holovatiuk 39–20 Frantisek Briza Frantisek Briza has won 20 of their 59 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:08What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.39 (65%)
Holovatiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
39-20 in 59
Holovatiuk
Correct
gap of 19 in 59, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holovatiuk 1563 vs Briza 1432
Holovatiuk
Correct
both rated, 130 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holovatiuk 60% vs Briza 40%
Holovatiuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holovatiuk 50% vs Briza 30%
Holovatiuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holovatiuk +3 · Briza +1
Holovatiuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Holovatiuk) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holovatiuk form (60%) is below what odds imply (72%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolovatiuk 1.39 / Briza 2.55
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Holovatiuk)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13066215
Holovatiuk1.39
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 81 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it92% 35 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it78% 54 of 69
Briza2.55
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 82 of 232
Down 0–1, comes back24% 31 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolovatiuk6wins
AwayBriza4wins
Holovatiuk leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolovatiuk66.7%4 of 6
AwayBriza50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holovatiuk6Briza4n = 10Holovatiuk took 6 of 10
S2Holovatiuk7Briza3n = 10Holovatiuk took 7 of 10
S3Holovatiuk5Briza5n = 10split evenly
S4Holovatiuk3Briza3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolovatiukBrizaH − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.532.6+2.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolovatiukBrizaBasisWin rate · lifetime321 / 650 vs 377 / 82349.4%45.8%321 / 650 vs 377 / 823Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolovatiukHolovatiuk 1.39/Briza 2.55
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.1%
Holovatiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Holovatiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 15:00Y. Holovatiuk—1111113F. Briza—6650
LAug 28 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk—1110981F. Briza—71211113
WAug 28 · 17:00Y. Holovatiuk—91111113F. Briza—117791
WAug 28 · 15:30Y. Holovatiuk—1111123F. Briza—75100
WAug 26 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk—1111113F. Briza—6370
LAug 24 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk—15117131F. Briza—17811153
LJul 31 · 21:02Y. Holovatiuk—1790F. Briza—1111113
LJul 31 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk—115681F. Briza—71111113
WJul 31 · 15:30Y. Holovatiuk—51211123F. Briza—11105101
WJul 28 · 23:00Y. Holovatiuk—11118123F. Briza—6911101
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161WSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211WSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123LSep 5 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.0011461172J. Plachy1.73811117113WSep 5 · 03:28Y. Holovatiuk1.8311511153K. Darin1.830118131
F. Briza10
WSep 6 · 17:30F. Briza1.8012711113J. Novotny1.911011651WSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113WSep 6 · 15:00J. Novotny2.00411691F. Briza1.7311211113WSep 6 · 14:30F. Briza1.33111411113M. Stefek3.25216781LSep 6 · 13:30F. Jungman1.571111113F. Briza2.257980WSep 6 · 12:30F. Briza1.531111113L. Malek2.387860LSep 6 · 11:00F. Briza2.006820F. Jungman1.731111113WSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113WSep 2 · 16:30F. Briza2.2511111111113D. Horak1.5741381372LSep 2 · 15:00F. Briza2.506650Y. Holovatiuk1.501111113
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