TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082600
Played Sep 6Finished
Frantisek Briza
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611811211––––
Filip Jungman
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:50 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeFilip Jungman to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Briza above · Filip Jungman below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 49 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Filip Jungman at 55.8%
49 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Briza 5–4 Filip Jungman Filip Jungman has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:50What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jungman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Briza 1422 vs Jungman 1361
Briza
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Briza 60% vs Jungman 100%
Jungman
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Briza 40% vs Jungman 60%
Jungman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Briza +1 · Jungman +5
Jungman
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jungman) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jungman form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBriza 2.00 / Jungman 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Briza)-0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082600
Briza2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 82 of 233
Down 0–1, comes back24% 32 of 134
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 69
Jungman1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 53 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it100% 29 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it84% 38 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeBriza5wins
AwayJungman4wins
2 of 9 to a deciderBriza leads 5–4, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBriza80%4 of 5
AwayJungman75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Briza5Jungman4n = 9Briza took 5 of 9
S2Briza7Jungman2n = 9Briza took 7 of 9
S3Briza5Jungman4n = 9Briza took 5 of 9
S4Briza3Jungman2n = 5Briza took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home333%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricBrizaJungmanB − JBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match37.132.2+4.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrizaJungmanBasisWin rate · lifetime373 / 815 vs 87 / 16145.8%54%373 / 815 vs 87 / 161Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JungmanBriza 2.00/Jungman 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jungman · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jungman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LJul 22 · 15:30F. Briza—912661F. Jungman—111011113
LJun 28 · 20:00F. Briza—9640F. Jungman—1111113
WJun 14 · 15:30F. Briza—1211113F. Jungman—10440
WMay 9 · 21:30F. Briza—131111113F. Jungman—154831
WMay 9 · 20:30F. Briza—1111113F. Jungman—5360
WMay 3 · 10:00F. Briza—11117113F. Jungman—991141
LApr 7 · 09:28F. Briza—61171172F. Jungman—113119113
LApr 7 · 06:30F. Briza—11111110112F. Jungman—713512133
WMar 17 · 23:00F. Briza—1111113F. Jungman—8970
F. Briza10
WSep 6 · 17:30F. Briza1.8012711113J. Novotny1.911011651WSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113WSep 6 · 15:00J. Novotny2.00411691F. Briza1.7311211113WSep 6 · 14:30F. Briza1.33111411113M. Stefek3.25216781LSep 6 · 13:30F. Jungman1.571111113F. Briza2.257980WSep 6 · 12:30F. Briza1.531111113L. Malek2.387860WSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113LSep 2 · 17:30Y. Holovatiuk1.39971111113F. Briza2.5511112952WSep 2 · 16:30F. Briza2.2511111111113D. Horak1.5741381372LSep 2 · 15:00F. Briza2.506650Y. Holovatiuk1.501111113
F. Jungman10
WSep 6 · 16:59F. Jungman1.61811911113J. Steffan2.2011611862LSep 6 · 16:00J. Trefny1.5711147123F. Jungman2.2551211101LSep 6 · 15:00J. Dedek1.3311311113F. Jungman3.25911931WSep 6 · 14:30F. Jungman1.731111115113J. Steffan2.0037131172WSep 6 · 13:30F. Jungman1.571111113F. Briza2.257980WSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 6 · 10:30F. Jungman1.5311811113L. Malek2.38711791WAug 21 · 21:28F. Jungman1.831111113Y. Holovatiuk1.837990WAug 21 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk1.73111111532F. Jungman2.00713411113WAug 21 · 19:30F. Jungman1.73981111113J. Steffan2.0011113942
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