TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13088596
Played Sep 6Finished
Frantisek Briza
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210711116115––
Jaroslav Novotny
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingFrantisek Briza above · Jaroslav Novotny below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-5
Point 71 set 4, 9-5
71 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Frantisek Briza 3–5 Jaroslav Novotny Frantisek Briza has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Briza)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Briza form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBriza 1.80 / Novotny 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Briza)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13088596
Briza1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 76 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it98% 45 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it74% 56 of 76
Novotny1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 7 of 17
Down 0–1, comes back20% 2 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeBriza3wins
AwayNovotny5wins
6 of 8 to a deciderNovotny leads 5–3, and 6 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBriza50%3 of 6
AwayNovotnyn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Briza6Novotny2n = 8Briza took 6 of 8
S2Briza1Novotny7n = 8Novotny took 7 of 8
S3Briza5Novotny3n = 8Briza took 5 of 8
S4Briza3Novotny4n = 7Novotny took 4 of 7
S5Briza2Novotny4n = 6Novotny took 4 of 6
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away450%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricBrizaNovotnyB − NBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match41.942.8−0.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrizaNovotnyBasisWin rate · lifetime377 / 821 vs 79 / 15345.9%51.6%377 / 821 vs 79 / 153Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrizaBriza 1.80/Novotny 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Briza · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Briza won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 6 · 15:00F. Briza—11211113J. Novotny—411691
WJan 4 · 17:30F. Briza—117119113J. Novotny—41161192
LNov 11 · 18:03F. Briza—11148472J. Novotny—3121111113
LNov 11 · 17:30F. Briza—541114102J. Novotny—1111312123
LSep 22 · 16:30F. Briza—9880J. Novotny—1111113
WJan 27 · 17:30F. Briza—119411113J. Novotny—61111562
LJan 17 · 18:30F. Briza—114116102J. Novotny—811611123
LJan 17 · 15:00F. Briza—118131082J. Novotny—9111112113
F. Briza10
WSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113WSep 6 · 15:00J. Novotny2.00411691F. Briza1.7311211113WSep 6 · 14:30F. Briza1.33111411113M. Stefek3.25216781LSep 6 · 13:30F. Jungman1.571111113F. Briza2.257980WSep 6 · 12:30F. Briza1.531111113L. Malek2.387860LSep 6 · 11:00F. Briza2.006820F. Jungman1.731111113WSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113LSep 2 · 17:30Y. Holovatiuk1.39971111113F. Briza2.5511112952WSep 2 · 16:30F. Briza2.2511111111113D. Horak1.5741381372LSep 2 · 15:00F. Briza2.506650Y. Holovatiuk1.501111113
J. Novotny10
WSep 6 · 16:30J. Novotny1.5091111113M. Stefek2.50118721LSep 6 · 15:00J. Novotny2.00411691F. Briza1.7311211113WSep 6 · 14:00A. Svoboda1.8391111662J. Novotny1.83117611113WAug 24 · 13:07A. Svoboda1.8361111682J. Novotny1.83116711113LAug 24 · 12:30R. Hasmanda2.00811611113J. Novotny1.7311911392WAug 24 · 11:30J. Novotny1.571111811113M. Stefek2.2531311642LAug 24 · 10:30A. Svoboda2.101111133J. Novotny1.6786110WAug 23 · 17:28R. Hasmanda2.00117111262J. Novotny1.73511714113LAug 23 · 16:30R. Hasmanda2.1091111113J. Novotny1.67118591WAug 23 · 15:30J. Novotny1.5011811113M. Barta2.50711851
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