TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12475859
Played Aug 23Finished
Jaroslav Novotny
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117811118115––
Miroslav Barta
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Barta to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJaroslav Novotny above · Miroslav Barta below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 72 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Miroslav Barta at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:08What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Novotny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Novotny 1442 vs Barta 1349
Novotny
Correct
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Novotny 80% vs Barta 20%
Novotny
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Novotny 60% vs Barta 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Novotny +4 · Barta -2
Novotny
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Novotny) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barta form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovotny 1.50 / Barta 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Novotny)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12475859
Novotny1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite53% won 24 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it78% 7 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it61% 14 of 23
Barta2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 61 of 150
Down 0–1, comes back24% 20 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovotnyBartaBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 151 vs 208 / 44551%46.7%77 / 151 vs 208 / 445Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovotnyNovotny 1.50/Barta 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Novotny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Novotny won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Novotny10
LSep 6 · 17:30F. Briza1.8012711113J. Novotny1.911011651WSep 6 · 16:30J. Novotny1.5091111113M. Stefek2.50118721LSep 6 · 15:00J. Novotny2.00411691F. Briza1.7311211113WSep 6 · 14:00A. Svoboda1.8391111662J. Novotny1.83117611113WAug 24 · 13:07A. Svoboda1.8361111682J. Novotny1.83116711113LAug 24 · 12:30R. Hasmanda2.00811611113J. Novotny1.7311911392WAug 24 · 11:30J. Novotny1.571111811113M. Stefek2.2531311642LAug 24 · 10:30A. Svoboda2.101111133J. Novotny1.6786110WAug 23 · 17:28R. Hasmanda2.00117111262J. Novotny1.73511714113LAug 23 · 16:30R. Hasmanda2.1091111113J. Novotny1.67118591
M. Barta10
WSep 6 · 13:30M. Barta1.75911911113L. Sulava1.9511711952LSep 6 · 12:30M. Barta1.9177111172L. Sulava1.80111165113WSep 6 · 11:00M. Barta2.101111113J. Briska1.674640WSep 6 · 10:00M. Stefek1.446670M. Barta2.631111113WSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113LSep 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.5711117143M. Barta2.256811121LSep 5 · 11:30M. Barta1.678230Z. Zikmunda2.101111113LSep 5 · 10:30Z. Drabek1.30101111113M. Barta3.40126471LSep 5 · 08:59M. Chalupnicek1.44111128113M. Barta2.6374111122LSep 5 · 08:00Z. Drabek1.441111113M. Barta2.634870
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