TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13081755
Played Sep 5Finished
Milan Chalupnicek
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117114211811112
Miroslav Barta
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingMilan Chalupnicek above · Miroslav Barta below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-2
Point 78 set 5, 11-2
78 points played in total.
H2H Milan Chalupnicek 5–1 Miroslav Barta Miroslav Barta has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Chalupnicek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barta form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChalupnicek 1.44 / Barta 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Chalupnicek)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13081755
Chalupnicek1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 58 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it81% 34 of 42
Barta2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 66 of 162
Down 0–1, comes back24% 22 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeChalupnicek5wins
AwayBarta1wins
1 of 6 to a deciderChalupnicek leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChalupnicek80%4 of 5
AwayBartan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chalupnicek5Barta1n = 6Chalupnicek took 5 of 6
S2Chalupnicek3Barta3n = 6split evenly
S3Chalupnicek3Barta3n = 6split evenly
S4Chalupnicek4Barta1n = 5Chalupnicek took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home350%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricChalupnicekBartaC − BBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match42.034.7+7.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChalupnicekBartaBasisWin rate · lifetime324 / 658 vs 220 / 47449.2%46.4%324 / 658 vs 220 / 474Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChalupnicekChalupnicek 1.44/Barta 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Chalupnicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Chalupnicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 5 · 07:00M. Chalupnicek—11118113M. Barta—331171
WJul 24 · 14:30M. Chalupnicek—1311113M. Barta—11160
LJul 7 · 15:00M. Chalupnicek—1196121M. Barta—71111143
WJan 3 · 12:30M. Chalupnicek—11115163M. Barta—7911141
WDec 6 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek—841111113M. Barta—11114862
WDec 6 · 09:00M. Chalupnicek—111211163M. Barta—7147141
M. Chalupnicek10
LSep 5 · 08:30M. Chalupnicek1.6171113682Z. Zikmunda2.201171111113WSep 5 · 07:00M. Chalupnicek1.5711118113M. Barta2.25331171LSep 5 · 06:00Z. Drabek2.2051114123M. Chalupnicek1.6111812101WSep 4 · 13:06M. Chalupnicek1.681113113Z. Drabek2.0581140LSep 4 · 12:30J. Strnad1.571011711113M. Chalupnicek2.2512611752WSep 4 · 11:30M. Chalupnicek1.801111113P. Kulhanek1.916960LSep 4 · 10:30Z. Drabek2.10114611123M. Chalupnicek1.67511115102WSep 4 · 09:00P. Sudek1.401191481M. Chalupnicek2.7581116113LSep 4 · 08:00M. Chalupnicek2.637101121P. Sudek1.4411125113WSep 4 · 07:30Z. Drabek1.9111122762M. Chalupnicek1.804101111113
M. Barta10
WSep 6 · 13:30M. Barta1.75911911113L. Sulava1.9511711952LSep 6 · 12:30M. Barta1.9177111172L. Sulava1.80111165113WSep 6 · 11:00M. Barta2.101111113J. Briska1.674640WSep 6 · 10:00M. Stefek1.446670M. Barta2.631111113WSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113LSep 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.5711117143M. Barta2.256811121LSep 5 · 11:30M. Barta1.678230Z. Zikmunda2.101111113LSep 5 · 10:30Z. Drabek1.30101111113M. Barta3.40126471LSep 5 · 08:00Z. Drabek1.441111113M. Barta2.634870LSep 5 · 07:00M. Chalupnicek1.5711118113M. Barta2.25331171
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