TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077454
Played Sep 5Finished
Zbynek Drabek
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012116114117––
Miroslav Barta
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Barta to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingZbynek Drabek above · Miroslav Barta below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 72 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Miroslav Barta at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Zbynek Drabek 5–2 Miroslav Barta Miroslav Barta has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:08What took a side0 for · 5 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Drabek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Drabek
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Drabek 1320 vs Barta 1218
Drabek
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Drabek 80% vs Barta 0%
Drabek
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Drabek 60% vs Barta 40%
Drabek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Drabek +4 · Barta -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Drabek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barta form (0%) is below what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDrabek 1.30 / Barta 3.40
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Drabek)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077454
Drabek1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 23 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it67% 14 of 21
Barta3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 66 of 162
Down 0–1, comes back24% 22 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeDrabek5wins
AwayBarta2wins
1 of 7 to a deciderDrabek leads 5–2, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDrabek60%3 of 5
AwayBartan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Drabek5Barta2n = 7Drabek took 5 of 7
S2Drabek5Barta2n = 7Drabek took 5 of 7
S3Drabek6Barta1n = 7Drabek took 6 of 7
S4Drabek2Barta2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home343%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricDrabekBartaD − BBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match36.930.1+6.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDrabekBartaBasisWin rate · lifetime47 / 92 vs 221 / 48051.1%46%47 / 92 vs 221 / 480Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DrabekDrabek 1.30/Barta 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.7%
Drabek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Drabek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 5 · 10:30Z. Drabek—101111113M. Barta—126471
WSep 5 · 08:00Z. Drabek—1111113M. Barta—4870
LJul 18 · 13:00Z. Drabek—11911752M. Barta—811811113
WJul 18 · 10:30Z. Drabek—1214113M. Barta—101240
WApr 25 · 16:30Z. Drabek—51112113M. Barta—1161081
LApr 17 · 20:00Z. Drabek—113881M. Barta—61111113
WApr 17 · 15:00Z. Drabek—1111113M. Barta—2750
Z. Drabek10
WSep 5 · 13:28Z. Zikmunda1.8311971182Z. Drabek1.83811119113LSep 5 · 12:00Z. Zikmunda2.001111113Z. Drabek1.734650WSep 5 · 11:00J. Strnad2.106760Z. Drabek1.671111113WSep 5 · 09:28Z. Drabek1.735111011113Z. Zikmunda2.0011612792WSep 5 · 08:00Z. Drabek1.441111113M. Barta2.634870WSep 5 · 07:30Z. Zikmunda2.0091171482Z. Drabek1.731171112113WSep 5 · 06:00Z. Drabek2.2051114123M. Chalupnicek1.6111812101LSep 4 · 13:06M. Chalupnicek1.681113113Z. Drabek2.0581140LSep 4 · 12:00P. Kulhanek1.91411311113Z. Drabek1.8011911282LSep 4 · 11:00J. Strnad2.38117116133Z. Drabek1.53611911112
M. Barta10
WSep 6 · 13:30M. Barta1.75911911113L. Sulava1.9511711952LSep 6 · 12:30M. Barta1.9177111172L. Sulava1.80111165113WSep 6 · 11:00M. Barta2.101111113J. Briska1.674640WSep 6 · 10:00M. Stefek1.446670M. Barta2.631111113WSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113LSep 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.5711117143M. Barta2.256811121LSep 5 · 11:30M. Barta1.678230Z. Zikmunda2.101111113LSep 5 · 08:59M. Chalupnicek1.44111128113M. Barta2.6374111122LSep 5 · 08:00Z. Drabek1.441111113M. Barta2.634870LSep 5 · 07:00M. Chalupnicek1.5711118113M. Barta2.25331171
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