TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077558
Played Sep 5Finished
Zdenek Zikmunda
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114116115––––
Zbynek Drabek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeZbynek Drabek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingZdenek Zikmunda above · Zbynek Drabek below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 48 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Zbynek Drabek at 54.0%
48 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Zikmunda 1–5 Zbynek Drabek Zdenek Zikmunda has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:29What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Drabek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-5 in 6
Drabek
Wrong
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zikmunda 1305 vs Drabek 1363
Drabek
Wrong
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zikmunda 40% vs Drabek 100%
Drabek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zikmunda 40% vs Drabek 70%
Drabek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zikmunda +1 · Drabek +5
Drabek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Drabek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Drabek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZikmunda 2.00 / Drabek 1.73
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Drabek)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077558
Zikmunda2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Drabek1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 23 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it67% 14 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeZikmunda1wins
AwayDrabek5wins
4 of 6 to a deciderDrabek leads 5–1, and 4 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZikmunda25%1 of 4
AwayDrabekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zikmunda4Drabek2n = 6Zikmunda took 4 of 6
S2Zikmunda1Drabek5n = 6Drabek took 5 of 6
S3Zikmunda3Drabek3n = 6split evenly
S4Zikmunda2Drabek4n = 6Drabek took 4 of 6
S5Zikmunda1Drabek3n = 4Drabek took 3 of 4
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away350%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricZikmundaDrabekZ − DBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match40.745.7−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZikmundaDrabekBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 22 vs 46 / 9031.8%51.1%7 / 22 vs 46 / 90Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DrabekZikmunda 2.00/Drabek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Drabek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zikmunda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 5 · 09:28Z. Zikmunda—11612792Z. Drabek—5111011113
LSep 5 · 07:30Z. Zikmunda—91171482Z. Drabek—1171112113
WSep 2 · 12:59Z. Zikmunda—115119113Z. Drabek—91181172
LSep 2 · 12:30Z. Zikmunda—119651Z. Drabek—61111113
LSep 2 · 08:59Z. Zikmunda—115881Z. Drabek—61111113
LSep 2 · 07:30Z. Zikmunda—94111152Z. Drabek—111198113
Z. Zikmunda10
LSep 5 · 13:28Z. Zikmunda1.8311971182Z. Drabek1.83811119113WSep 5 · 11:30M. Barta1.678230Z. Zikmunda2.101111113LSep 5 · 10:00Z. Zikmunda2.389790J. Strnad1.531111113LSep 5 · 09:28Z. Drabek1.735111011113Z. Zikmunda2.0011612792WSep 5 · 08:30M. Chalupnicek1.6171113682Z. Zikmunda2.201171111113LSep 5 · 07:30Z. Zikmunda2.0091171482Z. Drabek1.731171112113WSep 5 · 06:30M. Barta1.91181161192Z. Zikmunda1.80208116113WSep 2 · 12:59Z. Drabek1.4491181172Z. Zikmunda2.63115119113LSep 2 · 12:30Z. Zikmunda2.10119651Z. Drabek1.6761111113LSep 2 · 11:00Z. Zikmunda2.253670A. Svoboda1.571111113
Z. Drabek10
WSep 5 · 13:28Z. Zikmunda1.8311971182Z. Drabek1.83811119113WSep 5 · 11:00J. Strnad2.106760Z. Drabek1.671111113WSep 5 · 10:30Z. Drabek1.30101111113M. Barta3.40126471WSep 5 · 09:28Z. Drabek1.735111011113Z. Zikmunda2.0011612792WSep 5 · 08:00Z. Drabek1.441111113M. Barta2.634870WSep 5 · 07:30Z. Zikmunda2.0091171482Z. Drabek1.731171112113WSep 5 · 06:00Z. Drabek2.2051114123M. Chalupnicek1.6111812101LSep 4 · 13:06M. Chalupnicek1.681113113Z. Drabek2.0581140LSep 2 · 12:59Z. Drabek1.4491181172Z. Zikmunda2.63115119113WSep 2 · 12:30Z. Zikmunda2.10119651Z. Drabek1.6761111113
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