TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077456
Played Sep 5Finished
Zdenek Zikmunda
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111177111412811
Zbynek Drabek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:08 and never touched — 59.1% is still 59.1%
Graded at full timeZbynek Drabek to win
59.1%
59.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Zikmunda above · Zbynek Drabek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 101 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Zbynek Drabek at 59.1%
101 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Zikmunda 2–6 Zbynek Drabek Zdenek Zikmunda has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:08What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Drabek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-6 in 8
Drabek
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zikmunda 1348 vs Drabek 1320
Zikmunda
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zikmunda 40% vs Drabek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zikmunda 20% vs Drabek 40%
Drabek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zikmunda +2 · Drabek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Drabek) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Drabek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZikmunda 2.00 / Drabek 1.73
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Drabek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077456
Zikmunda2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 4 of 13
Drabek1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 28 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it71% 17 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeZikmunda2wins
AwayDrabek6wins
5 of 8 to a deciderDrabek leads 6–2, and 5 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZikmunda33.3%2 of 6
AwayDrabekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zikmunda6Drabek2n = 8Zikmunda took 6 of 8
S2Zikmunda2Drabek6n = 8Drabek took 6 of 8
S3Zikmunda4Drabek4n = 8split evenly
S4Zikmunda3Drabek4n = 7Drabek took 4 of 7
S5Zikmunda1Drabek4n = 5Drabek took 4 of 5
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away450%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricZikmundaDrabekZ − DBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match40.442.4−2.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZikmundaDrabekBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 24 vs 47 / 9233.3%51.1%8 / 24 vs 47 / 92Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DrabekZikmunda 2.00/Drabek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Drabek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Drabek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 5 · 13:28Z. Zikmunda—11971182Z. Drabek—811119113
WSep 5 · 12:00Z. Zikmunda—1111113Z. Drabek—4650
LSep 5 · 09:28Z. Zikmunda—11612792Z. Drabek—5111011113
LSep 5 · 07:30Z. Zikmunda—91171482Z. Drabek—1171112113
WSep 2 · 12:59Z. Zikmunda—115119113Z. Drabek—91181172
LSep 2 · 12:30Z. Zikmunda—119651Z. Drabek—61111113
LSep 2 · 08:59Z. Zikmunda—115881Z. Drabek—61111113
LSep 2 · 07:30Z. Zikmunda—94111152Z. Drabek—111198113
Z. Zikmunda10
LSep 5 · 13:28Z. Zikmunda1.8311971182Z. Drabek1.83811119113WSep 5 · 12:00Z. Zikmunda2.001111113Z. Drabek1.734650WSep 5 · 11:30M. Barta1.678230Z. Zikmunda2.101111113LSep 5 · 10:00Z. Zikmunda2.389790J. Strnad1.531111113LSep 5 · 09:28Z. Drabek1.735111011113Z. Zikmunda2.0011612792WSep 5 · 08:30M. Chalupnicek1.6171113682Z. Zikmunda2.201171111113WSep 5 · 06:30M. Barta1.91181161192Z. Zikmunda1.80208116113WSep 2 · 12:59Z. Drabek1.4491181172Z. Zikmunda2.63115119113LSep 2 · 12:30Z. Zikmunda2.10119651Z. Drabek1.6761111113LSep 2 · 11:00Z. Zikmunda2.253670A. Svoboda1.571111113
Z. Drabek10
WSep 5 · 13:28Z. Zikmunda1.8311971182Z. Drabek1.83811119113LSep 5 · 12:00Z. Zikmunda2.001111113Z. Drabek1.734650WSep 5 · 11:00J. Strnad2.106760Z. Drabek1.671111113WSep 5 · 10:30Z. Drabek1.30101111113M. Barta3.40126471WSep 5 · 09:28Z. Drabek1.735111011113Z. Zikmunda2.0011612792WSep 5 · 08:00Z. Drabek1.441111113M. Barta2.634870WSep 5 · 06:00Z. Drabek2.2051114123M. Chalupnicek1.6111812101LSep 4 · 13:06M. Chalupnicek1.681113113Z. Drabek2.0581140LSep 2 · 12:59Z. Drabek1.4491181172Z. Zikmunda2.63115119113WSep 2 · 12:30Z. Zikmunda2.10119651Z. Drabek1.6761111113
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