TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077488
Played Sep 4Finished
Milan Chalupnicek
Home
1.68
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181311114––––
Zbynek Drabek
Away
2.05
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingMilan Chalupnicek above · Zbynek Drabek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 58 set 3, 11-4
58 points played in total.
H2H Milan Chalupnicek 4–1 Zbynek Drabek Zbynek Drabek has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Chalupnicek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chalupnicek form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChalupnicek 1.68 / Drabek 2.05
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Chalupnicek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077488
Chalupnicek1.68
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 55 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it80% 32 of 40
Drabek2.05
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 13 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back24% 4 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeChalupnicek4wins
AwayDrabek1wins
4 of 5 to a deciderChalupnicek leads 4–1, and 4 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChalupnicekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDrabek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chalupnicek2Drabek3n = 5Drabek took 3 of 5
S2Chalupnicek2Drabek3n = 5Drabek took 3 of 5
S3Chalupnicek4Drabek1n = 5Chalupnicek took 4 of 5
S4Chalupnicek3Drabek2n = 5Chalupnicek took 3 of 5
S5Chalupnicek3Drabek1n = 4Chalupnicek took 3 of 4
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home360%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricChalupnicekDrabekC − DBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match46.241.0+5.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChalupnicekDrabekBasisWin rate · lifetime322 / 654 vs 40 / 8349.2%48.2%322 / 654 vs 40 / 83Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChalupnicekChalupnicek 1.68/Drabek 2.05
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Chalupnicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Chalupnicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 4 · 10:30M. Chalupnicek—511115102Z. Drabek—114611123
WSep 4 · 07:30M. Chalupnicek—4101111113Z. Drabek—11122762
WApr 15 · 09:30M. Chalupnicek—781111113Z. Drabek—11118642
WApr 15 · 07:30M. Chalupnicek—11611113Z. Drabek—411851
WApr 2 · 06:30M. Chalupnicek—111279163Z. Drabek—9101111142
M. Chalupnicek10
WSep 5 · 08:59M. Chalupnicek1.44111128113M. Barta2.6374111122LSep 5 · 08:30M. Chalupnicek1.6171113682Z. Zikmunda2.201171111113WSep 5 · 07:00M. Chalupnicek1.5711118113M. Barta2.25331171LSep 5 · 06:00Z. Drabek2.2051114123M. Chalupnicek1.6111812101LSep 4 · 12:30J. Strnad1.571011711113M. Chalupnicek2.2512611752WSep 4 · 11:30M. Chalupnicek1.801111113P. Kulhanek1.916960LSep 4 · 10:30Z. Drabek2.10114611123M. Chalupnicek1.67511115102WSep 4 · 09:00P. Sudek1.401191481M. Chalupnicek2.7581116113LSep 4 · 08:00M. Chalupnicek2.637101121P. Sudek1.4411125113WSep 4 · 07:30Z. Drabek1.9111122762M. Chalupnicek1.804101111113
Z. Drabek10
WSep 5 · 13:28Z. Zikmunda1.8311971182Z. Drabek1.83811119113LSep 5 · 12:00Z. Zikmunda2.001111113Z. Drabek1.734650WSep 5 · 11:00J. Strnad2.106760Z. Drabek1.671111113WSep 5 · 10:30Z. Drabek1.30101111113M. Barta3.40126471WSep 5 · 09:28Z. Drabek1.735111011113Z. Zikmunda2.0011612792WSep 5 · 08:00Z. Drabek1.441111113M. Barta2.634870WSep 5 · 07:30Z. Zikmunda2.0091171482Z. Drabek1.731171112113WSep 5 · 06:00Z. Drabek2.2051114123M. Chalupnicek1.6111812101WSep 4 · 10:30Z. Drabek2.10114611123M. Chalupnicek1.67511115102LSep 4 · 07:30Z. Drabek1.9111122762M. Chalupnicek1.804101111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Chalupnicek
Z. Drabek
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