TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071031
Played Sep 4Finished
Zbynek Drabek
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1154116111151210
Milan Chalupnicek
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMilan Chalupnicek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingZbynek Drabek above · Milan Chalupnicek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 86 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Milan Chalupnicek at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Zbynek Drabek 0–4 Milan Chalupnicek Zbynek Drabek has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:17What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Chalupnicek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Chalupnicek
Wrong
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Drabek 1329 vs Chalupnicek 1312
Drabek
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Drabek 40% vs Chalupnicek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Drabek 50% vs Chalupnicek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Drabek -1 · Chalupnicek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Chalupnicek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chalupnicek form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDrabek 2.10 / Chalupnicek 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Chalupnicek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071031
Drabek2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 13 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back24% 4 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Chalupnicek1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 55 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it80% 32 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeDrabek0wins
AwayChalupnicek4wins
3 of 4 to a deciderChalupnicek leads 4–0, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Drabek2Chalupnicek2n = 4split evenly
S2Drabek3Chalupnicek1n = 4Drabek took 3 of 4
S3Drabek1Chalupnicek3n = 4Chalupnicek took 3 of 4
S4Drabek1Chalupnicek3n = 4Chalupnicek took 3 of 4
S5Drabek0Chalupnicek3n = 3Chalupnicek took 3 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away375%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricDrabekChalupnicekD − CBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match40.247.2−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDrabekChalupnicekBasisWin rate · lifetime39 / 80 vs 321 / 65148.8%49.3%39 / 80 vs 321 / 651Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChalupnicekDrabek 2.10/Chalupnicek 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Chalupnicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Drabek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 4 · 07:30Z. Drabek—11122762M. Chalupnicek—4101111113
LApr 15 · 09:30Z. Drabek—11118642M. Chalupnicek—781111113
LApr 15 · 07:30Z. Drabek—411851M. Chalupnicek—11611113
LApr 2 · 06:30Z. Drabek—9101111142M. Chalupnicek—111279163
Z. Drabek10
WSep 5 · 13:28Z. Zikmunda1.8311971182Z. Drabek1.83811119113LSep 5 · 12:00Z. Zikmunda2.001111113Z. Drabek1.734650WSep 5 · 11:00J. Strnad2.106760Z. Drabek1.671111113WSep 5 · 10:30Z. Drabek1.30101111113M. Barta3.40126471WSep 5 · 09:28Z. Drabek1.735111011113Z. Zikmunda2.0011612792WSep 5 · 08:00Z. Drabek1.441111113M. Barta2.634870WSep 5 · 07:30Z. Zikmunda2.0091171482Z. Drabek1.731171112113WSep 5 · 06:00Z. Drabek2.2051114123M. Chalupnicek1.6111812101LSep 4 · 13:06M. Chalupnicek1.681113113Z. Drabek2.0581140LSep 4 · 12:00P. Kulhanek1.91411311113Z. Drabek1.8011911282
M. Chalupnicek10
WSep 5 · 08:59M. Chalupnicek1.44111128113M. Barta2.6374111122LSep 5 · 08:30M. Chalupnicek1.6171113682Z. Zikmunda2.201171111113WSep 5 · 07:00M. Chalupnicek1.5711118113M. Barta2.25331171LSep 5 · 06:00Z. Drabek2.2051114123M. Chalupnicek1.6111812101WSep 4 · 13:06M. Chalupnicek1.681113113Z. Drabek2.0581140LSep 4 · 12:30J. Strnad1.571011711113M. Chalupnicek2.2512611752WSep 4 · 11:30M. Chalupnicek1.801111113P. Kulhanek1.916960WSep 4 · 09:00P. Sudek1.401191481M. Chalupnicek2.7581116113LSep 4 · 08:00M. Chalupnicek2.637101121P. Sudek1.4411125113WSep 4 · 07:30Z. Drabek1.9111122762M. Chalupnicek1.804101111113
Upcoming Matches
Z. Drabek
Nothing scheduled
M. Chalupnicek
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.