TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076771
Played Sep 5Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611711611––––
Zbynek Drabek
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:11 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeZbynek Drabek to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1964 above · Zbynek Drabek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 52 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Zbynek Drabek at 55.7%
52 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1964 1–2 Zbynek Drabek Jaroslav Strnad 1964 has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:11What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Drabek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strnad 1335 vs Drabek 1342
Drabek
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strnad 80% vs Drabek 100%
Drabek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strnad 50% vs Drabek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Strnad +4 · Drabek +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Drabek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Drabek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 2.10 / Drabek 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Drabek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076771
Strnad2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 95 of 245
Down 0–1, comes back21% 29 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 82
Drabek1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 23 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it67% 14 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeStrnad1wins
AwayDrabek2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderDrabek leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad1Drabek2n = 3Drabek took 2 of 3
S2Strnad0Drabek3n = 3Drabek took 3 of 3
S3Strnad2Drabek1n = 3Strnad took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricStrnadDrabekS − DBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match35.742.3−6.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadDrabekBasisWin rate · lifetime532 / 1093 vs 45 / 8948.7%50.6%532 / 1093 vs 45 / 89Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DrabekStrnad 2.10/Drabek 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Drabek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Drabek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 4 · 11:00J. Strnad—117116133Z. Drabek—611911112
LSep 2 · 08:30J. Strnad—1091481Z. Drabek—121112113
LAug 6 · 12:30J. Strnad—7650Z. Drabek—1111113
J. Strnad10
LSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113LSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101LSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WSep 5 · 22:00P. Berdych1.80611981J. Strnad1.9111911113LSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113WSep 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.5711117143M. Barta2.256811121WSep 5 · 10:00Z. Zikmunda2.389790J. Strnad1.531111113WSep 4 · 13:30J. Strnad1.8511119133P. Kulhanek1.854111111WSep 4 · 12:30J. Strnad1.571011711113M. Chalupnicek2.2512611752
Z. Drabek10
WSep 5 · 13:28Z. Zikmunda1.8311971182Z. Drabek1.83811119113LSep 5 · 12:00Z. Zikmunda2.001111113Z. Drabek1.734650WSep 5 · 10:30Z. Drabek1.30101111113M. Barta3.40126471WSep 5 · 09:28Z. Drabek1.735111011113Z. Zikmunda2.0011612792WSep 5 · 08:00Z. Drabek1.441111113M. Barta2.634870WSep 5 · 07:30Z. Zikmunda2.0091171482Z. Drabek1.731171112113WSep 5 · 06:00Z. Drabek2.2051114123M. Chalupnicek1.6111812101LSep 4 · 13:06M. Chalupnicek1.681113113Z. Drabek2.0581140LSep 4 · 12:00P. Kulhanek1.91411311113Z. Drabek1.8011911282LSep 4 · 11:00J. Strnad2.38117116133Z. Drabek1.53611911112
Upcoming Matches
J. Strnad
Z. Drabek
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.