TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076756
Played Sep 5Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161151210––––
Vaclav Kosar
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:09 and never touched — 62.7% is still 62.7%
Graded at full timeVaclav Kosar to win
62.7%
62.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1964 above · Vaclav Kosar below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 55 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Vaclav Kosar at 62.7%
55 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1964 15–21 Vaclav Kosar Jaroslav Strnad 1964 has won 15 of their 36 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:09What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kosar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-21 in 36
Kosar
Wrong
gap of 6 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strnad 1328 vs Kosar 1387
Kosar
Wrong
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strnad 60% vs Kosar 80%
Kosar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strnad 60% vs Kosar 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Strnad +1 · Kosar +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kosar) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 2.25 / Kosar 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Kosar)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076756
Strnad2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 95 of 245
Down 0–1, comes back21% 29 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 82
Kosar1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 65 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it95% 40 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it85% 55 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrnad5wins
AwayKosar5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnad60%3 of 5
AwayKosar60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad5Kosar5n = 10split evenly
S2Strnad4Kosar6n = 10Kosar took 6 of 10
S3Strnad4Kosar6n = 10Kosar took 6 of 10
S4Strnad4Kosar3n = 7Strnad took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrnadKosarS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.233.8+0.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadKosarBasisWin rate · lifetime535 / 1098 vs 214 / 41748.7%51.3%535 / 1098 vs 214 / 417Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosarStrnad 2.25/Kosar 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Kosar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad—1111123V. Kosar—65100
WAug 25 · 24:00J. Strnad—131111113V. Kosar—159321
LAug 22 · 20:30J. Strnad—4430V. Kosar—1111113
LAug 22 · 02:00J. Strnad—79120V. Kosar—1111143
LJul 5 · 03:00J. Strnad—118841V. Kosar—71111113
WJul 5 · 01:30J. Strnad—581111113V. Kosar—11115272
LJun 18 · 11:00J. Strnad—7111091V. Kosar—11712113
WJun 2 · 24:00J. Strnad—11511113V. Kosar—811741
WMay 31 · 02:00J. Strnad—11116113V. Kosar—751161
LMay 21 · 23:00J. Strnad—123981V. Kosar—101111113
J. Strnad10
LSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113LSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101LSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 22:00P. Berdych1.80611981J. Strnad1.9111911113LSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113WSep 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.5711117143M. Barta2.256811121LSep 5 · 11:00J. Strnad2.106760Z. Drabek1.671111113WSep 5 · 10:00Z. Zikmunda2.389790J. Strnad1.531111113WSep 4 · 13:30J. Strnad1.8511119133P. Kulhanek1.854111111WSep 4 · 12:30J. Strnad1.571011711113M. Chalupnicek2.2512611752
V. Kosar10
WSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113WSep 6 · 02:30V. Kosar2.10121111113P. Berdych1.671071391LSep 6 · 01:30M. Ulrych1.6171111113V. Kosar2.20114651LSep 6 · 24:00V. Kosar2.00981191M. Novotny1.7311114113WAug 30 · 03:28V. Kosar1.53491111113J. Pleskot2.3811119762LAug 30 · 02:30D. Priesol1.611111127113V. Kosar2.20137101142WAug 30 · 01:00P. Berdych1.5011115872V. Kosar2.50671111113WAug 29 · 23:30V. Kosar2.251411113L. Sulava1.5712960WAug 29 · 22:00V. Kosar1.53129115113J. Pleskot2.38101171192WAug 28 · 17:00V. Kosar2.001311123P. Kulhanek1.73119100
Upcoming Matches
J. Strnad
V. Kosar
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