TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13034755
Played Aug 29Finished
Vaclav Kosar
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210911117511119
Jan Pleskot
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:09 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeVaclav Kosar to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Kosar above · Jan Pleskot below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 96 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Vaclav Kosar at 58.1%
96 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Kosar 9–9 Jan Pleskot Dead even across their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:09What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kosar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-9 in 18
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosar 1398 vs Pleskot 1278
Kosar
Correct
both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosar 40% vs Pleskot 20%
Kosar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosar 50% vs Pleskot 30%
Kosar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosar +1 · Pleskot -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Kosar) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pleskot form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosar 1.53 / Pleskot 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Kosar)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13034755
Kosar1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 64 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it95% 40 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it84% 54 of 64
Pleskot2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog33% won 72 of 217
Down 0–1, comes back20% 28 of 140
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosar6wins
AwayPleskot4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKosar leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosar66.7%4 of 6
AwayPleskot50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosar6Pleskot4n = 10Kosar took 6 of 10
S2Kosar6Pleskot4n = 10Kosar took 6 of 10
S3Kosar5Pleskot5n = 10split evenly
S4Kosar6Pleskot3n = 9Kosar took 6 of 9
S5Kosar1Pleskot2n = 3Pleskot took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosarPleskotK − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.537.5+2.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosarPleskotBasisWin rate · lifetime218 / 433 vs 302 / 64350.4%47%218 / 433 vs 302 / 643Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosarKosar 1.53/Pleskot 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Kosar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kosar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 01:30V. Kosar—11811113J. Pleskot—411691
WAug 25 · 02:30V. Kosar—1111113J. Pleskot—4840
WAug 11 · 03:09V. Kosar—51111113J. Pleskot—118561
LAug 11 · 01:00V. Kosar—411871J. Pleskot—11711113
LAug 8 · 01:00V. Kosar—116881J. Pleskot—71111113
WJul 24 · 16:58V. Kosar—11114123J. Pleskot—8911101
WJul 24 · 16:00V. Kosar—71113113J. Pleskot—1191181
LJul 14 · 01:00V. Kosar—611111192J. Pleskot—111389113
WJun 27 · 24:30V. Kosar—117512123J. Pleskot—4111110102
LJun 2 · 03:00V. Kosar—11119772J. Pleskot—471111113
V. Kosar10
WSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113WSep 6 · 02:30V. Kosar2.10121111113P. Berdych1.671071391LSep 6 · 01:30M. Ulrych1.6171111113V. Kosar2.20114651LSep 6 · 24:00V. Kosar2.00981191M. Novotny1.7311114113LSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WAug 30 · 03:28V. Kosar1.53491111113J. Pleskot2.3811119762LAug 30 · 02:30D. Priesol1.611111127113V. Kosar2.20137101142WAug 30 · 01:00P. Berdych1.5011115872V. Kosar2.50671111113WAug 29 · 23:30V. Kosar2.251411113L. Sulava1.5712960WAug 28 · 17:00V. Kosar2.001311123P. Kulhanek1.73119100
J. Pleskot10
WSep 2 · 17:30J. Pleskot1.84311911123M. Barta1.76119116102WSep 2 · 16:30J. Pleskot1.5011117113M. Syroha2.50451181WSep 2 · 15:00J. Pleskot1.7314118113P. Franc2.001261171LSep 2 · 14:00M. Barta1.91611117113J. Pleskot1.8011851182LAug 31 · 16:59J. Pleskot1.4451281172M. Syroha2.631110116113LAug 31 · 16:00J. Pleskot1.736101171M. Barta2.0011126113LAug 31 · 15:30L. Sulava1.6581113113J. Pleskot1.981181161WAug 31 · 14:00J. Pleskot1.501111113M. Syroha2.509590LAug 30 · 03:28V. Kosar1.53491111113J. Pleskot2.3811119762LAug 30 · 02:00P. Berdych2.501212133J. Pleskot1.501010110
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