TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13046715
Played Aug 31Finished
Jan Pleskot
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119115119––––
Michal Syroha
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Syroha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Pleskot above · Michal Syroha below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 56 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Michal Syroha at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Jan Pleskot 5–3 Michal Syroha Michal Syroha has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:19What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Pleskot
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Pleskot
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pleskot 1257 vs Syroha 1196
Pleskot
Correct
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pleskot 40% vs Syroha 60%
Syroha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pleskot 30% vs Syroha 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pleskot -2 · Syroha +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Pleskot) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syroha form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPleskot 1.50 / Syroha 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Pleskot)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13046715
Pleskot1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite58% won 89 of 154
Up 2–0, closes it92% 35 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it72% 57 of 79
Syroha2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 85 of 200
Down 0–1, comes back29% 37 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back16% 12 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomePleskot5wins
AwaySyroha3wins
4 of 8 to a deciderPleskot leads 5–3, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePleskot100%4 of 4
AwaySyroha75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pleskot4Syroha4n = 8split evenly
S2Pleskot6Syroha2n = 8Pleskot took 6 of 8
S3Pleskot7Syroha1n = 8Pleskot took 7 of 8
S4Pleskot3Syroha3n = 6split evenly
S5Pleskot1Syroha3n = 4Syroha took 3 of 4
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricPleskotSyrohaP − SBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match43.640.4+3.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPleskotSyrohaBasisWin rate · lifetime300 / 639 vs 332 / 67047%49.6%300 / 639 vs 332 / 670Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PleskotPleskot 1.50/Syroha 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Pleskot · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pleskot won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 27 · 03:00J. Pleskot—81111592M. Syroha—115911113
WAug 27 · 24:30J. Pleskot—1111113M. Syroha—9980
LAug 24 · 23:30J. Pleskot—412111092M. Syroha—1110812113
WAug 10 · 22:00J. Pleskot—1311138143M. Syroha—1181511122
WMar 21 · 10:07J. Pleskot—81113113M. Syroha—1131131
LMar 21 · 08:00J. Pleskot—87111272M. Syroha—1111910113
WMar 14 · 01:30J. Pleskot—111112113M. Syroha—6131081
WDec 26 · 24:00J. Pleskot—1112113M. Syroha—61080
J. Pleskot10
WSep 2 · 17:30J. Pleskot1.84311911123M. Barta1.76119116102WSep 2 · 16:30J. Pleskot1.5011117113M. Syroha2.50451181WSep 2 · 15:00J. Pleskot1.7314118113P. Franc2.001261171LSep 2 · 14:00M. Barta1.91611117113J. Pleskot1.8011851182LAug 31 · 16:59J. Pleskot1.4451281172M. Syroha2.631110116113LAug 31 · 16:00J. Pleskot1.736101171M. Barta2.0011126113LAug 31 · 15:30L. Sulava1.6581113113J. Pleskot1.981181161LAug 30 · 03:28V. Kosar1.53491111113J. Pleskot2.3811119762LAug 30 · 02:00P. Berdych2.501212133J. Pleskot1.501010110WAug 30 · 24:30J. Pleskot1.7551111113L. Sulava1.90119961
M. Syroha10
LSep 5 · 17:03M. Syroha1.514670V. Stach2.401111113LSep 5 · 16:00V. Stach2.6351112123M. Syroha1.4411810101WSep 5 · 15:00M. Regner2.00861151M. Syroha1.7311114113LSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:30M. Syroha2.2561141182V. Stach1.57118118113WSep 5 · 12:00M. Syroha1.441114126113V. Stach2.63512141112WSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:00M. Syroha1.221211113L. Havrda4.0010860LSep 2 · 16:30J. Pleskot1.5011117113M. Syroha2.50451181WAug 31 · 16:59J. Pleskot1.4451281172M. Syroha2.631110116113
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