TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13066089
Played Sep 2Finished
Jan Pleskot
Home
1.84
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
3111199111161210
Miroslav Barta
Away
1.76
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Barta to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Pleskot above · Miroslav Barta below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 93 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Miroslav Barta at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Jan Pleskot 6–4 Miroslav Barta Miroslav Barta has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:59What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.76 (51%)
Barta
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Pleskot
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pleskot 1250 vs Barta 1309
Barta
Wrong
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pleskot 40% vs Barta 80%
Barta
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pleskot 40% vs Barta 60%
Barta
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pleskot +2 · Barta -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Barta)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barta form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPleskot 1.84 / Barta 1.76
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Barta)+2.9pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13066089
Pleskot1.84
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 72 of 218
Down 0–1, comes back21% 29 of 140
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 72
Barta1.76
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 76 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it85% 51 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePleskot6wins
AwayBarta4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPleskot leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePleskot71.4%5 of 7
AwayBarta66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pleskot7Barta3n = 10Pleskot took 7 of 10
S2Pleskot7Barta3n = 10Pleskot took 7 of 10
S3Pleskot7Barta3n = 10Pleskot took 7 of 10
S4Pleskot3Barta3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPleskotBartaP − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.332.6+3.7per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPleskotBartaBasisWin rate · lifetime303 / 646 vs 220 / 47146.9%46.7%303 / 646 vs 220 / 471Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartaPleskot 1.84/Barta 1.76
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Barta · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pleskot won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 14:00J. Pleskot—11851182M. Barta—611117113
LAug 31 · 16:00J. Pleskot—6101171M. Barta—11126113
LAug 9 · 08:00J. Pleskot—116271M. Barta—81111113
WAug 2 · 08:59J. Pleskot—81111113M. Barta—117881
WAug 2 · 07:30J. Pleskot—1111113M. Barta—6490
LAug 1 · 09:29J. Pleskot—91111862M. Barta—115811113
WAug 1 · 08:00J. Pleskot—1112113M. Barta—31090
WJul 21 · 16:58J. Pleskot—1111113M. Barta—8960
WJul 21 · 16:30J. Pleskot—11136113M. Barta—9111151
WMay 16 · 07:00J. Pleskot—1111113M. Barta—6670
J. Pleskot10
WSep 2 · 16:30J. Pleskot1.5011117113M. Syroha2.50451181WSep 2 · 15:00J. Pleskot1.7314118113P. Franc2.001261171LSep 2 · 14:00M. Barta1.91611117113J. Pleskot1.8011851182LAug 31 · 16:59J. Pleskot1.4451281172M. Syroha2.631110116113LAug 31 · 16:00J. Pleskot1.736101171M. Barta2.0011126113LAug 31 · 15:30L. Sulava1.6581113113J. Pleskot1.981181161WAug 31 · 14:00J. Pleskot1.501111113M. Syroha2.509590LAug 30 · 03:28V. Kosar1.53491111113J. Pleskot2.3811119762LAug 30 · 02:00P. Berdych2.501212133J. Pleskot1.501010110WAug 30 · 24:30J. Pleskot1.7551111113L. Sulava1.90119961
M. Barta10
WSep 6 · 13:30M. Barta1.75911911113L. Sulava1.9511711952LSep 6 · 12:30M. Barta1.9177111172L. Sulava1.80111165113WSep 6 · 11:00M. Barta2.101111113J. Briska1.674640WSep 6 · 10:00M. Stefek1.446670M. Barta2.631111113WSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113LSep 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.5711117143M. Barta2.256811121LSep 5 · 11:30M. Barta1.678230Z. Zikmunda2.101111113LSep 5 · 10:30Z. Drabek1.30101111113M. Barta3.40126471WSep 2 · 14:00M. Barta1.91611117113J. Pleskot1.8011851182WAug 31 · 16:00J. Pleskot1.736101171M. Barta2.0011126113
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