TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059630
Played Sep 2Finished
Jan Pleskot
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114115711118––
Michal Syroha
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:03 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeJan Pleskot to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Pleskot above · Michal Syroha below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 68 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Jan Pleskot at 64.1%
68 points played in total.
H2H Jan Pleskot 6–3 Michal Syroha Michal Syroha has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:03What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Pleskot
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Pleskot
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pleskot 1241 vs Syroha 1148
Pleskot
Correct
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pleskot 20% vs Syroha 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pleskot 40% vs Syroha 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pleskot +1 · Syroha -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Pleskot)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syroha form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPleskot 1.50 / Syroha 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Pleskot)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13059630
Pleskot1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 90 of 157
Up 2–0, closes it92% 36 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it73% 58 of 80
Syroha2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 86 of 204
Down 0–1, comes back29% 37 of 129
Down 0–2, comes back15% 12 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomePleskot6wins
AwaySyroha3wins
4 of 9 to a deciderPleskot leads 6–3, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePleskot100%5 of 5
AwaySyroha75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pleskot5Syroha4n = 9Pleskot took 5 of 9
S2Pleskot7Syroha2n = 9Pleskot took 7 of 9
S3Pleskot8Syroha1n = 9Pleskot took 8 of 9
S4Pleskot3Syroha3n = 6split evenly
S5Pleskot1Syroha3n = 4Syroha took 3 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home333%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricPleskotSyrohaP − SBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match42.438.4+4.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPleskotSyrohaBasisWin rate · lifetime302 / 645 vs 333 / 67246.8%49.6%302 / 645 vs 333 / 672Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PleskotPleskot 1.50/Syroha 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Pleskot · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pleskot won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 31 · 14:00J. Pleskot—1111113M. Syroha—9590
LAug 27 · 03:00J. Pleskot—81111592M. Syroha—115911113
WAug 27 · 24:30J. Pleskot—1111113M. Syroha—9980
LAug 24 · 23:30J. Pleskot—412111092M. Syroha—1110812113
WAug 10 · 22:00J. Pleskot—1311138143M. Syroha—1181511122
WMar 21 · 10:07J. Pleskot—81113113M. Syroha—1131131
LMar 21 · 08:00J. Pleskot—87111272M. Syroha—1111910113
WMar 14 · 01:30J. Pleskot—111112113M. Syroha—6131081
WDec 26 · 24:00J. Pleskot—1112113M. Syroha—61080
J. Pleskot10
WSep 2 · 17:30J. Pleskot1.84311911123M. Barta1.76119116102WSep 2 · 15:00J. Pleskot1.7314118113P. Franc2.001261171LSep 2 · 14:00M. Barta1.91611117113J. Pleskot1.8011851182LAug 31 · 16:59J. Pleskot1.4451281172M. Syroha2.631110116113LAug 31 · 16:00J. Pleskot1.736101171M. Barta2.0011126113LAug 31 · 15:30L. Sulava1.6581113113J. Pleskot1.981181161WAug 31 · 14:00J. Pleskot1.501111113M. Syroha2.509590LAug 30 · 03:28V. Kosar1.53491111113J. Pleskot2.3811119762LAug 30 · 02:00P. Berdych2.501212133J. Pleskot1.501010110WAug 30 · 24:30J. Pleskot1.7551111113L. Sulava1.90119961
M. Syroha10
LSep 5 · 17:03M. Syroha1.514670V. Stach2.401111113LSep 5 · 16:00V. Stach2.6351112123M. Syroha1.4411810101WSep 5 · 15:00M. Regner2.00861151M. Syroha1.7311114113LSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:30M. Syroha2.2561141182V. Stach1.57118118113WSep 5 · 12:00M. Syroha1.441114126113V. Stach2.63512141112WSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:00M. Syroha1.221211113L. Havrda4.0010860WAug 31 · 16:59J. Pleskot1.4451281172M. Syroha2.631110116113LAug 31 · 14:00J. Pleskot1.501111113M. Syroha2.509590
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