TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082681
Played Sep 5Finished
Michal Syroha
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611118411118811
Vojtech Stach
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:00 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeMichal Syroha to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMichal Syroha above · Vojtech Stach below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 89 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Michal Syroha at 64.1%
89 points played in total.
H2H Michal Syroha 2–3 Vojtech Stach Michal Syroha has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:00What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Stach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syroha 1194 vs Stach 1183
Syroha
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syroha 100% vs Stach 40%
Syroha
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syroha 70% vs Stach 40%
Syroha
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Syroha +5 · Stach -1
Syroha
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Stach) · live re-read · sealed at 36% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stach form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyroha 2.25 / Stach 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Stach)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082681
Syroha2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 87 of 207
Down 0–1, comes back29% 38 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back15% 12 of 80
Stach1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 21 of 33
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it82% 14 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSyroha2wins
AwayStach3wins
2 of 5 to a deciderStach leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyrohan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayStach66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syroha2Stach3n = 5Stach took 3 of 5
S2Syroha3Stach2n = 5Syroha took 3 of 5
S3Syroha1Stach4n = 5Stach took 4 of 5
S4Syroha2Stach2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricSyrohaStachSyroha − StachBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match38.440.4−2.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyrohaStachBasisWin rate · lifetime338 / 679 vs 64 / 12349.8%52%338 / 679 vs 64 / 123Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.535.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StachSyroha 2.25/Stach 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Stach · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Stach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 5 · 17:03M. Syroha—4670V. Stach—1111113
LSep 5 · 16:00M. Syroha—11810101V. Stach—51112123
LSep 5 · 13:30M. Syroha—61141182V. Stach—118118113
WSep 5 · 12:00M. Syroha—1114126113V. Stach—512141112
WAug 12 · 23:00M. Syroha—91111113V. Stach—118991
M. Syroha10
LSep 5 · 17:03M. Syroha1.514670V. Stach2.401111113LSep 5 · 16:00V. Stach2.6351112123M. Syroha1.4411810101WSep 5 · 15:00M. Regner2.00861151M. Syroha1.7311114113LSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113WSep 5 · 12:00M. Syroha1.441114126113V. Stach2.63512141112WSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:00M. Syroha1.221211113L. Havrda4.0010860WSep 3 · 03:28P. Kulhanek2.2591112842M. Syroha1.571181011113WSep 3 · 02:00S. Mazanek1.731161071M. Syroha2.0091112113LSep 3 · 24:30M. Syroha1.57119811102P. Kulhanek2.25411118123
V. Stach10
WSep 5 · 17:03M. Syroha1.514670V. Stach2.401111113WSep 5 · 16:00V. Stach2.6351112123M. Syroha1.4411810101LSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110LSep 5 · 14:00V. Stach2.509790M. Regner1.501111113LSep 5 · 12:00M. Syroha1.441114126113V. Stach2.63512141112WSep 5 · 11:00L. Havrda1.5728100V. Stach2.251111123LSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LAug 30 · 03:30L. Havrda1.851111113V. Stach1.856380WAug 30 · 02:00J. Grohsgott1.671411461V. Stach2.1016511113WAug 30 · 24:30V. Stach1.911111113D. Mutl1.806980
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