TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13037849
Played Aug 30Finished
Jiri Grohsgott
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1416115411611––
Vojtech Stach
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:12 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Grohsgott to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Grohsgott above · Vojtech Stach below
Set 1 · 14-16
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 78 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Jiri Grohsgott at 58.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Grohsgott 4–0 Vojtech Stach Vojtech Stach has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:12What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Grohsgott
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Grohsgott
Wrong
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grohsgott 1118 vs Stach 1206
Stach
Correct
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grohsgott 40% vs Stach 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grohsgott 30% vs Stach 50%
Stach
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Grohsgott -1 · Stach +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Grohsgott) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grohsgott form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrohsgott 1.67 / Stach 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stach)+1.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13037849
Grohsgott1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 154 of 240
Up 2–0, closes it97% 85 of 88
Up 1–0, closes it83% 114 of 138
Stach2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog53% won 16 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back14% 2 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeGrohsgott4wins
AwayStach0wins
1 of 4 to a deciderGrohsgott leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrohsgott100%4 of 4
AwayStachn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grohsgott4Stach0n = 4Grohsgott took 4 of 4
S2Grohsgott4Stach0n = 4Grohsgott took 4 of 4
S3Grohsgott2Stach2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricGrohsgottStachG − SBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match38.529.5+9.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrohsgottStachBasisWin rate · lifetime744 / 1540 vs 67 / 12948.3%51.9%744 / 1540 vs 67 / 129Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.235.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrohsgottGrohsgott 1.67/Stach 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Grohsgott · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 29 · 16:30J. Grohsgott—1111123V. Stach—98100
WAug 27 · 06:00J. Grohsgott—11116123V. Stach—2411101
WAug 25 · 22:00J. Grohsgott—111177113V. Stach—57111162
WAug 25 · 08:00J. Grohsgott—1111113V. Stach—9870
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 4 · 01:30J. Grohsgott1.671111113A. Hejduk2.106880
V. Stach10
WSep 5 · 17:03M. Syroha1.514670V. Stach2.401111113WSep 5 · 16:00V. Stach2.6351112123M. Syroha1.4411810101LSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110LSep 5 · 14:00V. Stach2.509790M. Regner1.501111113WSep 5 · 13:30M. Syroha2.2561141182V. Stach1.57118118113LSep 5 · 12:00M. Syroha1.441114126113V. Stach2.63512141112WSep 5 · 11:00L. Havrda1.5728100V. Stach2.251111123LSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LAug 30 · 03:30L. Havrda1.851111113V. Stach1.856380WAug 30 · 24:30V. Stach1.911111113D. Mutl1.806980
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