TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13041005
Played Aug 30Finished
Jan Pleskot
Home
1.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511119119116––
Lubor Sulava
Away
1.90
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Pleskot to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
511119119116––
H2H Jan Pleskot 80–116 Lubor Sulava Jan Pleskot has won 80 of their 196 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:16What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (52%)
Pleskot
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
80-116 in 196
Sulava
Wrong
gap of 36 in 196, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pleskot 1277 vs Sulava 1347
Sulava
Wrong
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pleskot 40% vs Sulava 80%
Sulava
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pleskot 40% vs Sulava 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pleskot +1 · Sulava -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sulava) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulava form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPleskot 1.75 / Sulava 1.90
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sulava)+6.1pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13041005
Pleskot1.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite58% won 88 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it92% 35 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it72% 57 of 79
Sulava1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 60 of 188
Down 0–1, comes back16% 18 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePleskot2wins
AwaySulava8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSulava leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePleskot33.3%1 of 3
AwaySulava85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pleskot3Sulava7n = 10Sulava took 7 of 10
S2Pleskot3Sulava7n = 10Sulava took 7 of 10
S3Pleskot5Sulava5n = 10split evenly
S4Pleskot3Sulava4n = 7Sulava took 4 of 7
S5Pleskot0Sulava3n = 3Sulava took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPleskotSulavaP − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.039.0−4.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPleskotSulavaBasisWin rate · lifetime302 / 643 vs 481 / 97547%49.3%302 / 643 vs 481 / 975Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulavaPleskot 1.75/Sulava 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sulava · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pleskot won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 13 · 08:00J. Pleskot—1011771L. Sulava—12511113
LAug 10 · 23:30J. Pleskot—6960L. Sulava—1111113
LAug 10 · 09:30J. Pleskot—43100L. Sulava—1111123
LAug 10 · 07:30J. Pleskot—117118102L. Sulava—911911123
LAug 9 · 07:30J. Pleskot—11311982L. Sulava—711611113
LAug 7 · 23:30J. Pleskot—118111272L. Sulava—1311910113
WAug 6 · 16:58J. Pleskot—101111113L. Sulava—125631
WAug 6 · 16:00J. Pleskot—11811113L. Sulava—711691
LJul 24 · 15:30J. Pleskot—8560L. Sulava—1111113
LJul 19 · 08:00J. Pleskot—1011691L. Sulava—12611113
J. Pleskot10
WSep 2 · 17:30J. Pleskot1.84311911123M. Barta1.76119116102WSep 2 · 16:30J. Pleskot1.5011117113M. Syroha2.50451181WSep 2 · 15:00J. Pleskot1.7314118113P. Franc2.001261171LSep 2 · 14:00M. Barta1.91611117113J. Pleskot1.8011851182LAug 31 · 16:59J. Pleskot1.4451281172M. Syroha2.631110116113LAug 31 · 16:00J. Pleskot1.736101171M. Barta2.0011126113LAug 31 · 15:30L. Sulava1.6581113113J. Pleskot1.981181161WAug 31 · 14:00J. Pleskot1.501111113M. Syroha2.509590LAug 30 · 03:28V. Kosar1.53491111113J. Pleskot2.3811119762LAug 30 · 02:00P. Berdych2.501212133J. Pleskot1.501010110
L. Sulava10
WSep 7 · 02:58L. Sulava2.1011811113M. Novak1.67511961WSep 7 · 02:00P. Bruzek1.9198111252L. Sulava1.801111610113WSep 7 · 24:30L. Sulava2.2014616113M. Novak1.6112111471LSep 6 · 23:00L. Sulava2.636450A. Svoboda1.441111113LSep 6 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.441211113L. Sulava2.6310580LSep 6 · 13:30M. Barta1.75911911113L. Sulava1.9511711952WSep 6 · 12:30M. Barta1.9177111172L. Sulava1.80111165113WSep 6 · 11:30L. Sulava1.91121168113M. Stefek1.80104111172LSep 6 · 10:30J. Briska1.73971311113L. Sulava2.00111111342WAug 31 · 15:30L. Sulava1.6581113113J. Pleskot1.981181161
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