TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059250
Played Sep 2Finished
Jan Pleskot
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1412116811117––
Petr Franc
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Pleskot to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Pleskot above · Petr Franc below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 80 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Jan Pleskot at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Jan Pleskot 1–1 Petr Franc Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:24What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pleskot
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Pleskot 1226 vs Franc 1321
Franc
Wrong
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pleskot 20% vs Franc 80%
Franc
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pleskot 30% vs Franc 60%
Franc
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pleskot -4 · Franc +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pleskot)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Franc form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPleskot 1.73 / Franc 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pleskot)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13059250
Pleskot1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 90 of 157
Up 2–0, closes it92% 36 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it73% 58 of 80
Franc2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog29% won 5 of 17
Down 0–1, comes back9% 1 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePleskot1wins
AwayFranc1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPleskotFrancP − FBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match46.540.5+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPleskotFrancBasisWin rate · lifetime301 / 644 vs 69 / 13246.7%52.3%301 / 644 vs 69 / 132Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PleskotPleskot 1.73/Franc 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pleskot · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pleskot won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LFeb 25 · 10:07J. Pleskot—69111382P. Franc—1111211113
WFeb 25 · 09:00J. Pleskot—111311113P. Franc—915741
J. Pleskot10
WSep 2 · 17:30J. Pleskot1.84311911123M. Barta1.76119116102WSep 2 · 16:30J. Pleskot1.5011117113M. Syroha2.50451181LSep 2 · 14:00M. Barta1.91611117113J. Pleskot1.8011851182LAug 31 · 16:59J. Pleskot1.4451281172M. Syroha2.631110116113LAug 31 · 16:00J. Pleskot1.736101171M. Barta2.0011126113LAug 31 · 15:30L. Sulava1.6581113113J. Pleskot1.981181161WAug 31 · 14:00J. Pleskot1.501111113M. Syroha2.509590LAug 30 · 03:28V. Kosar1.53491111113J. Pleskot2.3811119762LAug 30 · 02:00P. Berdych2.501212133J. Pleskot1.501010110WAug 30 · 24:30J. Pleskot1.7551111113L. Sulava1.90119961
P. Franc10
WSep 2 · 17:00P. Franc1.141111113M. Syroha5.006770WSep 2 · 16:00M. Barta1.5311613612P. Franc2.385111111113WSep 2 · 14:30P. Franc1.501111113M. Syroha2.507770WAug 17 · 17:30J. Strnad1.676116121P. Franc2.1011811143WAug 17 · 16:00M. Syroha2.006690P. Franc1.731111113LAug 17 · 15:00J. Strnad1.73111611113P. Franc2.0011811772WAug 17 · 14:30P. Franc1.7311911113V. Sr2.00311481WAug 13 · 21:09M. Lubas1.73121131092P. Franc2.001091112113LAug 13 · 20:00P. Franc1.61111151062J. Grohsgott2.20851112113WAug 13 · 19:30M. Lubas2.6312981172P. Franc1.441011119113
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