TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12450967
Played Aug 17Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111186111214––
Petr Franc
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:10 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Strnad 1964 to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1964 above · Petr Franc below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 79 set 4, 12-14 — our read held Jaroslav Strnad 1964 at 55.8%
79 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1964 3–0 Petr Franc Petr Franc has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:10What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Strnad
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Strnad
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strnad 1300 vs Franc 1312
Franc
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strnad 80% vs Franc 60%
Strnad
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strnad 60% vs Franc 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Strnad +3 · Franc +1
Strnad
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Strnad)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Franc form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 1.67 / Franc 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Strnad)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12450967
Strnad1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 132 of 231
Up 2–0, closes it94% 66 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it75% 102 of 136
Franc2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog29% won 6 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back18% 3 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeStrnad3wins
AwayFranc0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderStrnad leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad2Franc1n = 3Strnad took 2 of 3
S2Strnad2Franc1n = 3Strnad took 2 of 3
S3Strnad2Franc1n = 3Strnad took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricStrnadFrancS − FBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match37.030.0+7.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadFrancBasisWin rate · lifetime514 / 1057 vs 70 / 13848.6%50.7%514 / 1057 vs 70 / 138Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadStrnad 1.67/Franc 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Franc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 17 · 15:00J. Strnad—111611113P. Franc—11811772
WFeb 18 · 08:30J. Strnad—11611113P. Franc—711851
WJan 24 · 19:00J. Strnad—1111103P. Franc—6450
J. Strnad10
LSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113LSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101LSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WSep 5 · 22:00P. Berdych1.80611981J. Strnad1.9111911113LSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113WSep 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.5711117143M. Barta2.256811121LSep 5 · 11:00J. Strnad2.106760Z. Drabek1.671111113WSep 5 · 10:00Z. Zikmunda2.389790J. Strnad1.531111113WSep 4 · 13:30J. Strnad1.8511119133P. Kulhanek1.854111111
P. Franc10
WSep 2 · 17:00P. Franc1.141111113M. Syroha5.006770WSep 2 · 16:00M. Barta1.5311613612P. Franc2.385111111113LSep 2 · 15:00J. Pleskot1.7314118113P. Franc2.001261171WSep 2 · 14:30P. Franc1.501111113M. Syroha2.507770WAug 17 · 16:00M. Syroha2.006690P. Franc1.731111113LAug 17 · 15:00J. Strnad1.73111611113P. Franc2.0011811772WAug 17 · 14:30P. Franc1.7311911113V. Sr2.00311481WAug 13 · 21:09M. Lubas1.73121131092P. Franc2.001091112113LAug 13 · 20:00P. Franc1.61111151062J. Grohsgott2.20851112113WAug 13 · 19:30M. Lubas2.6312981172P. Franc1.441011119113
Upcoming Matches
J. Strnad
P. Franc
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