TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12444132
Played Aug 17Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
111118611117117
Petr Franc
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Strnad 1964 to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1964 above · Petr Franc below
Set 1 · 1-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 84 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Jaroslav Strnad 1964 at 54.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1964 3–0 Petr Franc Petr Franc has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:28What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Strnad
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Strnad
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strnad 1289 vs Franc 1299
Franc
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strnad 60% vs Franc 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strnad 60% vs Franc 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Strnad +1 · Franc +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Strnad)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 1.73 / Franc 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Strnad)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12444132
Strnad1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 132 of 231
Up 2–0, closes it94% 66 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it75% 102 of 136
Franc2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 6 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back18% 3 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeStrnad3wins
AwayFranc0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderStrnad leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad2Franc1n = 3Strnad took 2 of 3
S2Strnad2Franc1n = 3Strnad took 2 of 3
S3Strnad2Franc1n = 3Strnad took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricStrnadFrancS − FBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match37.030.0+7.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadFrancBasisWin rate · lifetime513 / 1056 vs 69 / 13748.6%50.4%513 / 1056 vs 69 / 137Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadStrnad 1.73/Franc 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 17 · 15:00J. Strnad—111611113P. Franc—11811772
WFeb 18 · 08:30J. Strnad—11611113P. Franc—711851
WJan 24 · 19:00J. Strnad—1111103P. Franc—6450
J. Strnad10
LSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113LSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101LSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WSep 5 · 22:00P. Berdych1.80611981J. Strnad1.9111911113LSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113WSep 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.5711117143M. Barta2.256811121LSep 5 · 11:00J. Strnad2.106760Z. Drabek1.671111113WSep 5 · 10:00Z. Zikmunda2.389790J. Strnad1.531111113WSep 4 · 13:30J. Strnad1.8511119133P. Kulhanek1.854111111
P. Franc10
WSep 2 · 17:00P. Franc1.141111113M. Syroha5.006770WSep 2 · 16:00M. Barta1.5311613612P. Franc2.385111111113LSep 2 · 15:00J. Pleskot1.7314118113P. Franc2.001261171WSep 2 · 14:30P. Franc1.501111113M. Syroha2.507770WAug 17 · 17:30J. Strnad1.676116121P. Franc2.1011811143WAug 17 · 16:00M. Syroha2.006690P. Franc1.731111113WAug 17 · 14:30P. Franc1.7311911113V. Sr2.00311481WAug 13 · 21:09M. Lubas1.73121131092P. Franc2.001091112113LAug 13 · 20:00P. Franc1.61111151062J. Grohsgott2.20851112113WAug 13 · 19:30M. Lubas2.6312981172P. Franc1.441011119113
Upcoming Matches
J. Strnad
P. Franc
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