TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12414577
Played Aug 13Finished
Petr Franc
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181155111012611
Jiri Grohsgott
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:52 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timePetr Franc to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr Franc above · Jiri Grohsgott below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 90 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Petr Franc at 60.7%
90 points played in total.
H2H Petr Franc 9–7 Jiri Grohsgott Jiri Grohsgott has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:52What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Franc
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-7 in 16
Franc
Wrong
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Franc 1301 vs Grohsgott 1285
Franc
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Franc 40% vs Grohsgott 80%
Grohsgott
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Franc 60% vs Grohsgott 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Franc -3 · Grohsgott +1
Franc
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Franc) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grohsgott form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFranc 1.61 / Grohsgott 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Franc)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12414577
Franc1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 23 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it78% 14 of 18
Grohsgott2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 141 of 365
Down 0–1, comes back22% 41 of 189
Down 0–2, comes back7% 8 of 109
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFranc6wins
AwayGrohsgott4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderFranc leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFranc50%2 of 4
AwayGrohsgott33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Franc4Grohsgott6n = 10Grohsgott took 6 of 10
S2Franc7Grohsgott3n = 10Franc took 7 of 10
S3Franc7Grohsgott3n = 10Franc took 7 of 10
S4Franc3Grohsgott4n = 7Grohsgott took 4 of 7
S5Franc2Grohsgott2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFrancGrohsgottF − GBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.836.3+2.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFrancGrohsgottBasisWin rate · lifetime66 / 132 vs 756 / 153550%49.3%66 / 132 vs 756 / 1535Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FrancFranc 1.61/Grohsgott 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.7%
Franc · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Grohsgott won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 22 · 19:30P. Franc—861131J. Grohsgott—11116113
WJul 15 · 20:00P. Franc—511118113J. Grohsgott—11381152
WJun 2 · 08:30P. Franc—101111113J. Grohsgott—126131
WMay 27 · 07:00P. Franc—1111113J. Grohsgott—8880
LApr 21 · 06:00P. Franc—11136672J. Grohsgott—6111111113
WApr 15 · 09:00P. Franc—1411119113J. Grohsgott—16751182
WApr 15 · 07:00P. Franc—51111113J. Grohsgott—116761
WAug 6 · 06:00P. Franc—1211113J. Grohsgott—10790
LAug 1 · 18:00P. Franc—116141172J. Grohsgott—811168113
LJul 25 · 09:00P. Franc—8550J. Grohsgott—1111113
P. Franc10
WSep 2 · 17:00P. Franc1.141111113M. Syroha5.006770WSep 2 · 16:00M. Barta1.5311613612P. Franc2.385111111113LSep 2 · 15:00J. Pleskot1.7314118113P. Franc2.001261171WSep 2 · 14:30P. Franc1.501111113M. Syroha2.507770WAug 17 · 17:30J. Strnad1.676116121P. Franc2.1011811143WAug 17 · 16:00M. Syroha2.006690P. Franc1.731111113LAug 17 · 15:00J. Strnad1.73111611113P. Franc2.0011811772WAug 17 · 14:30P. Franc1.7311911113V. Sr2.00311481WAug 13 · 21:09M. Lubas1.73121131092P. Franc2.001091112113WAug 13 · 19:30M. Lubas2.6312981172P. Franc1.441011119113
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 4 · 01:30J. Grohsgott1.671111113A. Hejduk2.106880
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.