TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12444151
Played Aug 17Finished
Michal Syroha
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611911––––
Petr Franc
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Franc to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Syroha above · Petr Franc below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 54 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Petr Franc at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Michal Syroha 1–2 Petr Franc Michal Syroha has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:29What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Franc
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syroha 1253 vs Franc 1299
Franc
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syroha 60% vs Franc 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syroha 60% vs Franc 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Syroha +1 · Franc -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Franc)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyroha 2.00 / Franc 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Franc)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12444151
Syroha2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 81 of 182
Down 0–1, comes back30% 33 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back17% 11 of 65
Franc1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 24 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it83% 10 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it70% 14 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSyroha1wins
AwayFranc2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderFranc leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyrohan = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayFranc66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syroha0Franc3n = 3Franc took 3 of 3
S2Syroha2Franc1n = 3Syroha took 2 of 3
S3Syroha2Franc1n = 3Syroha took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricSyrohaFrancS − FBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match38.042.0−4.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyrohaFrancBasisWin rate · lifetime334 / 667 vs 69 / 13750.1%50.4%334 / 667 vs 69 / 137Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FrancSyroha 2.00/Franc 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Franc · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Franc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 13 · 18:00M. Syroha—81111183P. Franc—1139161
LOct 8 · 17:30M. Syroha—6460P. Franc—1111113
LOct 8 · 14:00M. Syroha—81711592P. Franc—1115611113
M. Syroha10
LSep 5 · 17:03M. Syroha1.514670V. Stach2.401111113LSep 5 · 16:00V. Stach2.6351112123M. Syroha1.4411810101WSep 5 · 15:00M. Regner2.00861151M. Syroha1.7311114113LSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:30M. Syroha2.2561141182V. Stach1.57118118113WSep 5 · 12:00M. Syroha1.441114126113V. Stach2.63512141112WSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:00M. Syroha1.221211113L. Havrda4.0010860WSep 3 · 03:28P. Kulhanek2.2591112842M. Syroha1.571181011113WSep 3 · 02:00S. Mazanek1.731161071M. Syroha2.0091112113
P. Franc10
WSep 2 · 17:00P. Franc1.141111113M. Syroha5.006770WSep 2 · 16:00M. Barta1.5311613612P. Franc2.385111111113LSep 2 · 15:00J. Pleskot1.7314118113P. Franc2.001261171WSep 2 · 14:30P. Franc1.501111113M. Syroha2.507770WAug 17 · 17:30J. Strnad1.676116121P. Franc2.1011811143LAug 17 · 15:00J. Strnad1.73111611113P. Franc2.0011811772WAug 17 · 14:30P. Franc1.7311911113V. Sr2.00311481WAug 13 · 21:09M. Lubas1.73121131092P. Franc2.001091112113LAug 13 · 20:00P. Franc1.61111151062J. Grohsgott2.20851112113WAug 13 · 19:30M. Lubas2.6312981172P. Franc1.441011119113
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