TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12443108
Played Aug 17Finished
Petr Franc
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
113911114118––
Vaclav Hruska Sr
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:10 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timePetr Franc to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Franc above · Vaclav Hruska Sr below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 68 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Petr Franc at 61.2%
68 points played in total.
H2H Petr Franc 2–1 Vaclav Hruska Sr Vaclav Hruska Sr has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:10What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Franc
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Franc 1301 vs Sr 1251
Franc
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Franc 40% vs Sr 100%
Sr
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Franc 60% vs Sr 80%
Sr
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Franc +1 · Sr +5
Sr
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Franc) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sr form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFranc 1.73 / Sr 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Franc)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12443108
Franc1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 24 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it83% 10 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it70% 14 of 20
Sr2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 86 of 224
Down 0–1, comes back23% 28 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeFranc2wins
AwaySr1wins
Franc leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Franc2Sr1n = 3Franc took 2 of 3
S2Franc3Sr0n = 3Franc took 3 of 3
S3Franc0Sr3n = 3Sr took 3 of 3
S4Franc2Sr1n = 3Franc took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricFrancSrF − SBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match38.335.3+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFrancSrBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 135 vs 474 / 101950.4%46.5%68 / 135 vs 474 / 1019Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FrancFranc 1.73/Sr 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Franc · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Franc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WMay 19 · 08:58P. Franc—111111113V. Sr—491351
LMay 19 · 08:30P. Franc—711971V. Sr—11811113
WFeb 11 · 09:30P. Franc—11114113V. Sr—771191
P. Franc10
WSep 2 · 17:00P. Franc1.141111113M. Syroha5.006770WSep 2 · 16:00M. Barta1.5311613612P. Franc2.385111111113LSep 2 · 15:00J. Pleskot1.7314118113P. Franc2.001261171WSep 2 · 14:30P. Franc1.501111113M. Syroha2.507770WAug 17 · 17:30J. Strnad1.676116121P. Franc2.1011811143WAug 17 · 16:00M. Syroha2.006690P. Franc1.731111113LAug 17 · 15:00J. Strnad1.73111611113P. Franc2.0011811772WAug 13 · 21:09M. Lubas1.73121131092P. Franc2.001091112113LAug 13 · 20:00P. Franc1.61111151062J. Grohsgott2.20851112113WAug 13 · 19:30M. Lubas2.6312981172P. Franc1.441011119113
V. Sr10
WSep 3 · 21:30V. Sr1.731111113J. Grohsgott2.004880WSep 3 · 20:30M. Lubas2.105790V. Sr1.671111113WSep 3 · 19:30V. Sr1.73119135123J. Grohsgott2.004111111102WSep 3 · 18:30J. Pelikan2.207101171V. Sr1.6111128113LAug 23 · 17:29M. Regner1.44971111113V. Sr2.6311119562LAug 23 · 16:30M. Regner1.44811511113V. Sr2.6311511452WAug 23 · 15:30V. Sr2.25111110113M. Syroha1.57341211WAug 23 · 14:30J. Grohsgott2.1010680V. Sr1.671211113LAug 22 · 09:30M. Syroha1.44111251113V. Sr2.63810111162LAug 22 · 08:00M. Syroha1.531311113V. Sr2.3811180
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