TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12474713
Played Aug 23Finished
Jiri Grohsgott
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012611811––––
Vaclav Hruska Sr
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:36 and never touched — 58.4% is still 58.4%
Graded at full timeVaclav Hruska Sr to win
58.4%
58.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Grohsgott above · Vaclav Hruska Sr below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 58 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Vaclav Hruska Sr at 58.4%
58 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Grohsgott 21–19 Vaclav Hruska Sr Vaclav Hruska Sr has won 19 of their 40 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:36What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-19 in 40
Grohsgott
Wrong
gap of 2 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grohsgott 1072 vs Sr 1201
Sr
Correct
both rated, 129 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grohsgott 60% vs Sr 40%
Grohsgott
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grohsgott 40% vs Sr 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Grohsgott +1 · Sr -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Sr) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sr form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrohsgott 2.10 / Sr 1.67
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Sr)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12474713
Grohsgott2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog37% won 137 of 368
Down 0–1, comes back20% 39 of 194
Down 0–2, comes back8% 9 of 116
Sr1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite53% won 101 of 191
Up 2–0, closes it78% 45 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it69% 72 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrohsgott5wins
AwaySr5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrohsgott83.3%5 of 6
AwaySr100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grohsgott6Sr4n = 10Grohsgott took 6 of 10
S2Grohsgott7Sr3n = 10Grohsgott took 7 of 10
S3Grohsgott3Sr7n = 10Sr took 7 of 10
S4Grohsgott4Sr1n = 5Grohsgott took 4 of 5
S5Grohsgott1Sr3n = 4Sr took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrohsgottSrG − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.433.2+3.2per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrohsgottSrBasisWin rate · lifetime748 / 1545 vs 477 / 102748.4%46.5%748 / 1545 vs 477 / 1027Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrGrohsgott 2.10/Sr 1.67
Hit
What we said
57.8%
Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 07:00J. Grohsgott—11391272V. Sr—9111110113
LAug 20 · 06:30J. Grohsgott—9630V. Sr—1111113
LAug 19 · 02:00J. Grohsgott—8890V. Sr—1111113
WAug 13 · 07:30J. Grohsgott—1111113V. Sr—2650
WAug 12 · 03:00J. Grohsgott—111111113V. Sr—271331
WAug 11 · 22:00J. Grohsgott—1111113V. Sr—6850
WJul 29 · 21:30J. Grohsgott—1111123V. Sr—88100
LJul 29 · 19:00J. Grohsgott—61191152V. Sr—115114113
WJul 21 · 14:30J. Grohsgott—1111711113V. Sr—82111392
LJul 21 · 13:30J. Grohsgott—61191152V. Sr—116117113
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 4 · 01:30J. Grohsgott1.671111113A. Hejduk2.106880
V. Sr10
WSep 3 · 21:30V. Sr1.731111113J. Grohsgott2.004880WSep 3 · 20:30M. Lubas2.105790V. Sr1.671111113WSep 3 · 19:30V. Sr1.73119135123J. Grohsgott2.004111111102WSep 3 · 18:30J. Pelikan2.207101171V. Sr1.6111128113LAug 23 · 17:29M. Regner1.44971111113V. Sr2.6311119562LAug 23 · 16:30M. Regner1.44811511113V. Sr2.6311511452WAug 23 · 15:30V. Sr2.25111110113M. Syroha1.57341211LAug 22 · 09:30M. Syroha1.44111251113V. Sr2.63810111162LAug 22 · 08:00M. Syroha1.531311113V. Sr2.3811180WAug 22 · 07:00J. Grohsgott1.8311391272V. Sr1.839111110113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.