TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065147
Played Sep 3Finished
Josef Pelikan
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111012118711––
Vaclav Hruska Sr
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:32 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeVaclav Hruska Sr to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingJosef Pelikan above · Vaclav Hruska Sr below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 77 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Vaclav Hruska Sr at 61.2%
77 points played in total.
H2H Josef Pelikan 2–10 Vaclav Hruska Sr Josef Pelikan has won 2 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:32What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-10 in 12
Sr
Correct
gap of 8 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pelikan 1199 vs Sr 1180
Pelikan
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pelikan 40% vs Sr 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pelikan 20% vs Sr 50%
Sr
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pelikan -2 · Sr -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Sr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sr form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelikan 2.20 / Sr 1.61
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Sr)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065147
Pelikan2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 34 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back22% 11 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Sr1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 98 of 183
Up 2–0, closes it78% 43 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it69% 70 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePelikan2wins
AwaySr8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSr leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePelikan33.3%1 of 3
AwaySr85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pelikan3Sr7n = 10Sr took 7 of 10
S2Pelikan1Sr9n = 10Sr took 9 of 10
S3Pelikan3Sr7n = 10Sr took 7 of 10
S4Pelikan2Sr3n = 5Sr took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricPelikanSrP − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match28.139.6−11.5per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelikanSrBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 295 vs 461 / 99747.5%46.2%140 / 295 vs 461 / 997Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.737.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrPelikan 2.20/Sr 1.61
Hit
What we said
61.2%
Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 16 · 18:00J. Pelikan—11911113V. Sr—811891
LJul 6 · 23:30J. Pelikan—761151V. Sr—11116113
LJun 15 · 21:30J. Pelikan—117371V. Sr—71111113
WJun 15 · 18:30J. Pelikan—441113123V. Sr—1111911102
LFeb 25 · 22:00J. Pelikan—4560V. Sr—1111113
LFeb 25 · 19:00J. Pelikan—4990V. Sr—1111113
LSep 14 · 19:30J. Pelikan—14144752V. Sr—12121111113
LMay 10 · 19:30J. Pelikan—11160V. Sr—1113113
LApr 22 · 18:30J. Pelikan—31460V. Sr—1116113
LJan 14 · 22:00J. Pelikan—3940V. Sr—1111113
J. Pelikan10
WSep 3 · 21:00J. Pelikan1.67411211113M. Lubas2.1011811452LSep 3 · 20:00J. Grohsgott2.001111113J. Pelikan1.732880WSep 3 · 19:00M. Lubas2.101011111282J. Pelikan1.67124314113LAug 30 · 03:00D. Mutl2.2061211123J. Pelikan1.6111109101LAug 30 · 02:30J. Pelikan1.619140L. Havrda2.201111113WAug 30 · 01:30D. Mutl2.0011891372J. Pelikan1.739111111113LAug 30 · 24:00J. Pelikan1.675860J. Grohsgott2.101111113WAug 29 · 23:00V. Stach1.8069131192J. Pelikan1.911111112113LJul 22 · 18:00P. Franc1.53111011113J. Pelikan2.38812691LJul 22 · 02:58J. Potensky1.6712117113J. Pelikan2.101051181
V. Sr10
WSep 3 · 21:30V. Sr1.731111113J. Grohsgott2.004880WSep 3 · 20:30M. Lubas2.105790V. Sr1.671111113WSep 3 · 19:30V. Sr1.73119135123J. Grohsgott2.004111111102LAug 23 · 17:29M. Regner1.44971111113V. Sr2.6311119562LAug 23 · 16:30M. Regner1.44811511113V. Sr2.6311511452WAug 23 · 15:30V. Sr2.25111110113M. Syroha1.57341211WAug 23 · 14:30J. Grohsgott2.1010680V. Sr1.671211113LAug 22 · 09:30M. Syroha1.44111251113V. Sr2.63810111162LAug 22 · 08:00M. Syroha1.531311113V. Sr2.3811180WAug 22 · 07:00J. Grohsgott1.8311391272V. Sr1.839111110113
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