TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12470510
Played Aug 22Finished
Michal Syroha
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311111118––––
Vaclav Hruska Sr
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:59 and never touched — 63.8% is still 63.8%
Graded at full timeMichal Syroha to win
63.8%
63.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Syroha above · Vaclav Hruska Sr below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 55 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Michal Syroha at 63.8%
55 points played in total.
H2H Michal Syroha 25–12 Vaclav Hruska Sr Vaclav Hruska Sr has won 12 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:59What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Syroha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-12 in 37
Syroha
Correct
gap of 13 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syroha 1307 vs Sr 1240
Syroha
Correct
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syroha 80% vs Sr 60%
Syroha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syroha 70% vs Sr 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Syroha +2 · Sr +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Syroha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sr form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyroha 1.53 / Sr 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Syroha)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12470510
Syroha1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 75 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it78% 49 of 63
Sr2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 90 of 235
Down 0–1, comes back23% 30 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSyroha8wins
AwaySr2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSyroha leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyroha88.9%8 of 9
AwaySrn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syroha9Sr1n = 10Syroha took 9 of 10
S2Syroha5Sr5n = 10split evenly
S3Syroha7Sr3n = 10Syroha took 7 of 10
S4Syroha5Sr2n = 7Syroha took 5 of 7
S5Syroha2Sr2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSyrohaSrSyroha − SrBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match39.235.5+3.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyrohaSrBasisWin rate · lifetime333 / 668 vs 477 / 102649.9%46.5%333 / 668 vs 477 / 1026Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyrohaSyroha 1.53/Sr 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.8%
Syroha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Syroha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 22 · 08:00M. Syroha—1311113V. Sr—11180
WAug 19 · 24:30M. Syroha—1111113V. Sr—8690
LAug 17 · 17:00M. Syroha—41171142V. Sr—117118113
WAug 17 · 15:30M. Syroha—119113113V. Sr—81191162
WAug 15 · 20:30M. Syroha—111011113V. Sr—612651
LAug 11 · 23:00M. Syroha—15541182V. Sr—1311115113
WAug 2 · 13:30M. Syroha—1111113V. Sr—5650
WAug 2 · 11:30M. Syroha—13112113V. Sr—1191151
WAug 2 · 09:29M. Syroha—116116113V. Sr—71191192
WAug 2 · 07:30M. Syroha—11611133V. Sr—9119111
M. Syroha10
LSep 5 · 17:03M. Syroha1.514670V. Stach2.401111113LSep 5 · 16:00V. Stach2.6351112123M. Syroha1.4411810101WSep 5 · 15:00M. Regner2.00861151M. Syroha1.7311114113LSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:30M. Syroha2.2561141182V. Stach1.57118118113WSep 5 · 12:00M. Syroha1.441114126113V. Stach2.63512141112WSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:00M. Syroha1.221211113L. Havrda4.0010860WSep 3 · 03:28P. Kulhanek2.2591112842M. Syroha1.571181011113WSep 3 · 02:00S. Mazanek1.731161071M. Syroha2.0091112113
V. Sr10
WSep 3 · 21:30V. Sr1.731111113J. Grohsgott2.004880WSep 3 · 20:30M. Lubas2.105790V. Sr1.671111113WSep 3 · 19:30V. Sr1.73119135123J. Grohsgott2.004111111102WSep 3 · 18:30J. Pelikan2.207101171V. Sr1.6111128113LAug 23 · 17:29M. Regner1.44971111113V. Sr2.6311119562LAug 23 · 16:30M. Regner1.44811511113V. Sr2.6311511452WAug 23 · 15:30V. Sr2.25111110113M. Syroha1.57341211WAug 23 · 14:30J. Grohsgott2.1010680V. Sr1.671211113LAug 22 · 09:30M. Syroha1.44111251113V. Sr2.63810111162WAug 22 · 07:00J. Grohsgott1.8311391272V. Sr1.839111110113
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