TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13073654
Played Sep 3Finished
Vaclav Hruska Sr
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114118118––––
Jiri Grohsgott
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Grohsgott to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVaclav Hruska Sr above · Jiri Grohsgott below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 53 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Jiri Grohsgott at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Hruska Sr 20–21 Jiri Grohsgott Vaclav Hruska Sr has won 20 of their 41 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:58What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-21 in 41
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sr 1220 vs Grohsgott 1262
Grohsgott
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sr 60% vs Grohsgott 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sr 60% vs Grohsgott 80%
Grohsgott
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sr +3 · Grohsgott +1
Sr
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sr) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSr 1.73 / Grohsgott 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sr)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13073654
Sr1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 98 of 183
Up 2–0, closes it78% 43 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it69% 70 of 101
Grohsgott2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 140 of 368
Down 0–1, comes back22% 42 of 193
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 114
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSr5wins
AwayGrohsgott5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSr100%4 of 4
AwayGrohsgott83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sr4Grohsgott6n = 10Grohsgott took 6 of 10
S2Sr4Grohsgott6n = 10Grohsgott took 6 of 10
S3Sr7Grohsgott3n = 10Sr took 7 of 10
S4Sr1Grohsgott3n = 4Grohsgott took 3 of 4
S5Sr2Grohsgott1n = 3Sr took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSrGrohsgottS − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.034.6−2.6per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSrGrohsgottBasisWin rate · lifetime460 / 992 vs 751 / 153946.4%48.8%460 / 992 vs 751 / 1539Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrSr 1.73/Grohsgott 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 23 · 14:30V. Sr—1211113J. Grohsgott—10680
WAug 22 · 07:00V. Sr—9111110113J. Grohsgott—11391272
WAug 20 · 06:30V. Sr—1111113J. Grohsgott—9630
WAug 19 · 02:00V. Sr—1111113J. Grohsgott—8890
LAug 13 · 07:30V. Sr—2650J. Grohsgott—1111113
LAug 12 · 03:00V. Sr—271331J. Grohsgott—111111113
LAug 11 · 22:00V. Sr—6850J. Grohsgott—1111113
LJul 29 · 21:30V. Sr—88100J. Grohsgott—1111123
WJul 29 · 19:00V. Sr—115114113J. Grohsgott—61191152
LJul 21 · 14:30V. Sr—82111392J. Grohsgott—1111711113
V. Sr10
WSep 3 · 20:30M. Lubas2.105790V. Sr1.671111113WSep 3 · 19:30V. Sr1.73119135123J. Grohsgott2.004111111102WSep 3 · 18:30J. Pelikan2.207101171V. Sr1.6111128113LAug 23 · 17:29M. Regner1.44971111113V. Sr2.6311119562LAug 23 · 16:30M. Regner1.44811511113V. Sr2.6311511452WAug 23 · 15:30V. Sr2.25111110113M. Syroha1.57341211WAug 23 · 14:30J. Grohsgott2.1010680V. Sr1.671211113LAug 22 · 09:30M. Syroha1.44111251113V. Sr2.63810111162LAug 22 · 08:00M. Syroha1.531311113V. Sr2.3811180WAug 22 · 07:00J. Grohsgott1.8311391272V. Sr1.839111110113
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133LSep 3 · 19:30V. Sr1.73119135123J. Grohsgott2.004111111102LAug 23 · 14:30J. Grohsgott2.1010680V. Sr1.671211113LAug 22 · 07:00J. Grohsgott1.8311391272V. Sr1.839111110113
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